TBL 6 @ SEA 2 · Mar 17, 2026

Tue, Mar 17, 2026·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

Final

Home

Seattle Kraken

Three stars

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 84% of the time.

78%

SEA winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

SEA forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

	Guentzel–Point–Goncalves	Kucherov–Cirelli–Hagel	Perry–Bjorkstrand–Paul	Gourde–Girgensons–Holmberg	Kucherov–Paul–Hagel	McDonagh–D'Astous	Raddysh–Moser	Hedman–Cernak	McDonagh–Hedman
Eberle–McMann–Beniers	0:490.00–0.00	7:010.19–0.65	1:230.00–0.00	1:070.00–0.00		3:290.10–0.14	4:340.07–0.24	2:300.02–0.27
Kakko–Wright–Catton	1:390.00–0.13		3:310.00–0.41	4:120.10–0.01		4:100.00–0.41	1:490.00–0.01	3:000.10–0.13	0:310.00–0.00
Stephenson–Gaudreau–McCann	5:450.10–0.14	0:330.00–0.00		0:360.00–0.00	0:330.03–0.00	1:250.00–0.03	4:000.03–0.11	2:110.10–0.00
Winterton–Melanson–Meyers		0:330.12–0.00	2:320.00–0.00	1:390.06–0.00		2:250.19–0.00	0:580.00–0.00	2:270.00–0.00
Stephenson–Gaudreau–Winterton	1:070.00–0.03					1:170.00–0.03
Stephenson–Winterton–Melanson			0:340.00–0.01			0:300.00–0.01	0:430.00–0.07
Gaudreau–Winterton–Meyers							0:410.05–0.00
Montour–Lindgren	7:290.16–0.29	1:320.00–0.29		1:010.00–0.00	0:330.03–0.00	3:190.07–0.09	4:450.09–0.13	4:110.10–0.40
Larsson–Dunn	1:030.00–0.01	6:440.32–0.36	1:280.00–0.01	0:520.00–0.00	0:470.00–0.13	3:400.23–0.06	5:480.07–0.44	2:350.02–0.01
Oleksiak–Evans			5:190.00–0.00	4:520.12–0.01		5:180.06–0.00	3:230.04–0.01	3:200.06–0.00
Montour–Dunn	0:390.00–0.00					0:440.00–0.00	1:040.00–0.00
Montour–Evans	0:450.00–0.00					0:300.00–0.00		0:420.04–0.00
Oleksiak–Montour			1:020.00–0.41			1:040.00–0.41

Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

SEATBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals


Brandon MontourSEA	22	23:11	1:03	2:08	4	0
Darren RaddyshTBL	23	22:10	0:58	2:49	5	3
Ryan McDonaghTBL	27	21:17	0:47	1:36	1	4
Nikita KucherovTBL	21	19:49	0:57	2:24	4	1
Jake GuentzelTBL	18	19:39	1:06	2:14	4	2
Vince DunnSEA	23	19:23	0:51	1:30	5	1
J.J. MoserTBL	23	19:11	0:50	2:07	2	4
Brayden PointTBL	21	18:46	0:54	2:05	4	0
Jordan EberleSEA	23	18:44	0:49	1:40	5	2
Adam LarssonSEA	22	18:43	0:51	1:50	0	3
Matty BeniersSEA	23	18:21	0:48	1:22	5	2
Ryan LindgrenSEA	22	18:05	0:49	2:07	2	3
Charle-Edouard D'AstousTBL	23	17:59	0:47	1:18	1	0
Chandler StephensonSEA	22	17:54	0:49	1:28	4	2
Ryker EvansSEA	22	17:50	0:49	1:29	2	0
Brandon HagelTBL	25	17:21	0:42	1:39	2	5
Jamie OleksiakSEA	19	17:14	0:54	2:44	1	0
Victor HedmanTBL	24	17:14	0:43	1:38	1	4
Bobby McMannSEA	21	16:58	0:48	1:16	3	2
Frederick GaudreauSEA	20	16:53	0:51	1:29	1	5
Erik CernakTBL	24	16:27	0:41	1:38	1	7
Shane WrightSEA	20	15:51	0:48	1:32	3	0
Anthony CirelliTBL	24	15:48	0:40	1:08	2	6
Oliver BjorkstrandTBL	16	15:01	0:56	1:22	2	0
Ryan WintertonSEA	17	14:26	0:51	2:06	1	0
Berkly CattonSEA	16	13:55	0:52	1:37	3	0
Nick PaulTBL	16	13:34	0:51	1:26	0	2
Kaapo KakkoSEA	18	13:22	0:45	1:28	3	0
Corey PerryTBL	17	13:06	0:46	1:18	0	0
Gage GoncalvesTBL	18	12:58	0:43	1:21	3	1
Jared McCannSEA	17	12:53	0:45	1:12	4	2
Yanni GourdeTBL	17	12:07	0:43	1:01	1	2
Zemgus GirgensonsTBL	19	12:05	0:38	1:01	1	2
Ben MeyersSEA	17	11:52	0:42	1:21	2	2
Pontus HolmbergTBL	14	10:25	0:45	1:18	1	2
Jacob MelansonSEA	12	9:14	0:46	1:16	0	0

Tampa Bay Lightning 6, Seattle Kraken 2

Who was on the ice

Shift totals