Thu, Mar 19, 2026·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Montréal Canadiens 1, Detroit Red Wings 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 56% of the time.
36%
9%
48%
DET winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 23:59 | 0.58 | 74.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 23:01 | 0.05 | 48.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 21:41 | 0.06 | 40.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 21:24 | 0.00 | 55.6% | +20.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:15 | 0.09 | 59.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 5 | 19:52 | 0.65 | 49.1% | +20.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 18:48 | 0.23 | 50.8% | +20.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:52 | 0.18 | 65.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:33 | 0.08 | 64.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:44 | 0.38 | 65.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:03 | 0.16 | 94.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:46 | 0.17 | 69.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:52 | 0.00 | 84.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 11:59 | 0.00 | 57.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:25 | 0.33 | 98.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:14 | 0.36 | 75.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:34 | 0.32 | 64.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:33 | 0.13 | 47.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 27 | 25 | 2 | .926 | 2.58 | +0.6 | 58:25 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 26:41 | 0.04 | 38.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 4 | 24:39 | 0.22 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 22:08 | 0.08 | 53.8% | +21.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:26 | 0.14 | 25.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:36 | 0.08 | 28.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 4 | 19:11 | 0.52 | 40.5% | +69.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:45 | 0.11 | 35.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:19 | 0.87 | 44.7% | +2.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 17:27 | 0.18 | 64.1% | +21.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:58 | 0.49 | 42.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:51 | 0.08 | 28.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:11 | 0.13 | 23.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:30 | 0.05 | 11.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:29 | 0.09 | 36.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:43 | 0.01 | 46.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:46 | 0.31 | 18.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:14 | 0.00 | 6.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:53 | 0.00 | 3.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 32 | 1 | .970 | 3.75 | +2.8 | 60:00 |