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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 22, 2026·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Carolina Hurricanes 5, Pittsburgh Penguins 1

Away

Carolina Hurricanes

5

Final

Home

Pittsburgh Penguins

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 93% of the time.

PIT winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:22Shot by Ehlers, saved by Skinner
  3. P1 0:25Graves: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Clifton, Graves, Acciari, Dewar, Soderblom · CAR Staal, Martinook, Ehlers, Walker, Miller

  4. P1 0:47Goal by Aho (Jarvis)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Karlsson, Wotherspoon, Acciari, Dewar · CAR Staal, Aho, Svechnikov, Jarvis, Nikishin

  5. P1 5:45Shot by Carrier, saved by Skinner
  6. P1 7:04Shot by Jarvis, saved by Skinner
  7. P1 7:08Shot by Slavin, saved by Skinner
  8. P1 11:03Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Skinner
  9. P1 11:10Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Skinner
  10. P1 11:55Shot by Crosby, saved by Andersen
  11. P1 13:35Shot by Graves, saved by Andersen
  12. P1 15:10Shot by Rust, saved by Andersen
  13. P1 15:11Shot by Rust, saved by Andersen
  14. P1 17:45Shot by Nikishin, saved by Skinner
  15. P1 18:05Shot by Acciari, saved by Andersen
  16. P1 19:17Shot by Stankoven, saved by Skinner
  17. P1 0:00Period end
  18. P2 0:00Period start
  19. P2 1:47Shot by Acciari, saved by Andersen
  20. P2 2:03Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Skinner
  21. P2 2:42Shot by Karlsson, saved by Andersen
  22. P2 4:02Shot by Novak, saved by Andersen
  23. P2 5:24Girard: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Letang, Acciari, Girard, Dewar, Soderblom · CAR Reilly, Aho, Svechnikov, Jarvis, Nikishin

  24. P2 6:24Goal by Ehlers (Jarvis, Nikishin)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Clifton, Wotherspoon, Acciari, Dewar · CAR Ehlers, Aho, Svechnikov, Jarvis, Nikishin

  25. P2 9:09Shot by Jankowski, saved by Skinner
  26. P2 9:15Goal by Chatfield (Robinson)+9 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Karlsson, Novak, Wotherspoon, Chinakhov · CAR Jankowski, Slavin, Carrier, Chatfield, Robinson

  27. P2 9:37Shot by Crosby, saved by Andersen
  28. P2 9:44Shot by Rust, saved by Andersen
  29. P2 10:40Reilly: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Clifton, Mantha, Girard, Brazeau, Kindel · CAR Hall, Reilly, Nikishin, Stankoven, Blake

  30. P2 10:45Shot by Karlsson, saved by Andersen5v4
  31. P2 12:17Shot by Aho, saved by Skinner5v4
  32. P2 12:18Shot by Jarvis, saved by Skinner5v4
  33. P2 12:20Shot by Aho, saved by Skinner5v4
  34. P2 15:26Shot by Miller, saved by Skinner
  35. P2 16:39Mantha: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Mantha, Novak, Girard · CAR Hall, Slavin, Chatfield, Stankoven, Blake

  36. P2 16:39Malkin: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Mantha, Novak, Girard · CAR Hall, Slavin, Chatfield, Stankoven, Blake

  37. P2 16:39Hall: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Mantha, Novak, Girard · CAR Hall, Slavin, Chatfield, Stankoven, Blake

  38. P2 17:20Goal by Jarvis (Ehlers, Svechnikov)4v5+3 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Clifton, Wotherspoon, Acciari, Dewar · CAR Ehlers, Aho, Svechnikov, Jarvis, Nikishin

  39. P2 19:00Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Skinner
  40. P2 0:00Period end
  41. P3 0:00Period start
  42. P3 0:24Shot by Rust, saved by Andersen
  43. P3 2:17Shot by Reilly, saved by Skinner
  44. P3 7:28Karlsson: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Karlsson, Novak, Wotherspoon, Chinakhov · CAR Staal, Martinook, Slavin, Ehlers, Aho, Chatfield

  45. P3 8:11Shot by Jarvis, saved by Skinner4v5
  46. P3 8:55Shot by Ehlers, saved by Skinner4v5
  47. P3 9:08Shot by Ehlers, saved by Skinner4v5
  48. P3 9:16Shot by Blake, saved by Skinner4v5
  49. P3 9:24Martinook: Holding the stick (2 min)4v5

    On ice: PIT Clifton, Wotherspoon, Acciari, Dewar · CAR Jankowski, Martinook, Slavin, Carrier, Chatfield

  50. P3 9:24Wotherspoon: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: PIT Clifton, Wotherspoon, Acciari, Dewar · CAR Jankowski, Martinook, Slavin, Carrier, Chatfield

  51. P3 11:25Shot by Brazeau, saved by Andersen
  52. P3 12:12Shot by Soderblom, saved by Andersen
  53. P3 12:40Soderblom: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Clifton, Graves, Acciari, Dewar, Soderblom · CAR Jankowski, Carrier, Walker, Robinson, Miller

  54. P3 13:55Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Skinner4v5
  55. P3 14:56Goal by Chinakhov (Rust, Crosby)0 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Rust, Clifton, Graves, Chinakhov · CAR Hall, Chatfield, Miller, Stankoven, Blake

  56. P3 15:48Shot by Kindel, saved by Andersen
  57. P3 18:11Shot by Brazeau, saved by Andersen6v5
  58. P3 18:11Shot by Kindel, saved by Andersen6v5
  59. P3 18:56Goal by Jankowski (Blake, Stankoven)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Karlsson, Rust, Rakell · CAR Jankowski, Walker, Miller, Stankoven, Blake

  60. P3 19:11Shot by Acciari, saved by Andersen
  61. P3 19:22Reilly: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Clifton, Graves, Acciari, Dewar, Soderblom · CAR Reilly, Jankowski, Carrier, Robinson, Nikishin

  62. P3 0:00Period end5v4
  63. P3 0:00Final5v4