Sun, Mar 22, 2026·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Carolina Hurricanes 5, Pittsburgh Penguins 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 93% of the time.
91%
PIT winsCAR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
PIT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Hall–Stankoven–Blake | Aho–Svechnikov–Jarvis | Staal–Martinook–Ehlers | Jankowski–Carrier–Robinson | Hall–Robinson–Stankoven | Walker–Miller | Slavin–Chatfield | Reilly–Nikishin | Slavin–Nikishin | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crosby–Rust–Rakell | 2:550.00–0.33 | 2:190.45–0.07 | 4:510.09–0.07 | 1:130.01–0.03 | 6:100.26–0.28 | 4:480.26–0.22 | 0:370.02–0.00 | ||
| Malkin–Novak–Chinakhov | 3:070.14–0.13 | 2:530.00–0.14 | 1:290.19–0.03 | 3:580.19–0.22 | 2:260.00–0.17 | 1:420.00–0.04 | |||
| Acciari–Dewar–Soderblom | 1:220.00–0.00 | 3:410.13–0.34 | 2:210.02–0.01 | 2:550.00–0.10 | 1:040.00–0.08 | 4:010.25–0.27 | |||
| Mantha–Brazeau–Kindel | 2:220.13–0.00 | 1:520.00–0.15 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 1:120.00–0.00 | 1:160.00–0.00 | 3:060.13–0.15 | 3:050.13–0.00 | ||
| Crosby–Rakell–Chinakhov | 0:450.10–0.00 | ||||||||
| Karlsson–Wotherspoon | 1:280.12–0.00 | 4:420.39–0.27 | 4:430.02–0.21 | 1:580.01–0.03 | 6:110.26–0.07 | 5:030.02–0.33 | 1:590.26–0.11 | ||
| Letang–Girard | 5:390.14–0.38 | 3:330.19–0.24 | 1:520.00–0.00 | 4:080.00–0.34 | 5:340.31–0.22 | 3:090.01–0.20 | |||
| Clifton–Graves | 2:520.26–0.08 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 1:310.00–0.09 | 4:400.12–0.00 | 4:250.00–0.30 | 1:460.10–0.00 | 4:100.13–0.00 | ||
| Letang–Karlsson | 0:550.06–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.03 | 1:060.06–0.00 | ||||||
| Clifton–Girard | 1:010.00–0.00 | 0:360.50–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Letang–Wotherspoon | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Clifton–Wotherspoon | 0:410.16–0.01 | 0:310.00–0.01 |
Every shift, one row per player.
PITCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 K'Andre MillerCAR | 27 | 24:36 | 0:55 | 1:47 | 4 | 2 |
 Kris LetangPIT | 24 | 22:26 | 0:56 | 1:38 | 5 | 4 |
 Sean WalkerCAR | 25 | 21:50 | 0:52 | 1:49 | 3 | 2 |
 Erik KarlssonPIT | 28 | 21:47 | 0:47 | 1:27 | 12 | 5 |
 Parker WotherspoonPIT | 26 | 20:53 | 0:48 | 1:35 | 6 | 8 |
 Jaccob SlavinCAR | 23 | 20:46 | 0:54 | 1:33 | 3 | 5 |
 Rickard RakellPIT | 22 | 20:01 | 0:55 | 1:33 | 5 | 3 |
 Sebastian AhoCAR | 20 | 19:43 | 0:59 | 1:50 | 6 | 0 |
 Jalen ChatfieldCAR | 23 | 19:36 | 0:51 | 2:04 | 3 | 5 |
 Samuel GirardPIT | 23 | 19:35 | 0:51 | 1:45 | 1 | 4 |
 Sidney CrosbyPIT | 21 | 19:13 | 0:55 | 3:08 | 4 | 3 |
 Bryan RustPIT | 23 | 19:07 | 0:50 | 1:19 | 5 | 4 |
 Connor CliftonPIT | 22 | 18:51 | 0:51 | 2:32 | 0 | 5 |
 Seth JarvisCAR | 19 | 18:03 | 0:57 | 1:33 | 7 | 0 |
 Andrei SvechnikovCAR | 18 | 17:17 | 0:58 | 1:50 | 7 | 0 |
 Jackson BlakeCAR | 17 | 16:32 | 0:58 | 1:38 | 2 | 0 |
 Logan StankovenCAR | 17 | 16:20 | 0:58 | 1:45 | 3 | 0 |
 Nikolaj EhlersCAR | 20 | 16:15 | 0:49 | 1:52 | 2 | 5 |
 Alexander NikishinCAR | 21 | 16:15 | 0:46 | 1:30 | 8 | 0 |
 Evgeni MalkinPIT | 18 | 16:05 | 0:54 | 1:41 | 6 | 0 |
 Taylor HallCAR | 17 | 16:04 | 0:57 | 1:48 | 3 | 1 |
 Ben KindelPIT | 19 | 15:37 | 0:49 | 1:29 | 3 | 4 |
 Jordan StaalCAR | 22 | 15:25 | 0:42 | 1:41 | 4 | 6 |
 Egor ChinakhovPIT | 18 | 15:16 | 0:51 | 1:31 | 3 | 0 |
 Connor DewarPIT | 19 | 14:33 | 0:46 | 1:45 | 0 | 7 |
 Noel AcciariPIT | 18 | 14:07 | 0:47 | 1:36 | 0 | 7 |
 Tommy NovakPIT | 16 | 13:53 | 0:52 | 1:34 | 3 | 0 |
 Jordan MartinookCAR | 20 | 13:07 | 0:39 | 1:23 | 2 | 6 |
 Ryan GravesPIT | 17 | 12:45 | 0:45 | 1:35 | 1 | 2 |
 Eric RobinsonCAR | 16 | 12:39 | 0:47 | 1:16 | 3 | 0 |
 Anthony ManthaPIT | 13 | 11:47 | 0:54 | 1:30 | 3 | 1 |
 Mike ReillyCAR | 17 | 11:09 | 0:39 | 1:07 | 4 | 0 |
 Justin BrazeauPIT | 14 | 11:05 | 0:48 | 1:32 | 3 | 2 |
 William CarrierCAR | 15 | 11:00 | 0:44 | 1:10 | 2 | 0 |
 Mark JankowskiCAR | 16 | 10:53 | 0:41 | 1:41 | 4 | 0 |
 Elmer SoderblomPIT | 16 | 10:02 | 0:38 | 1:44 | 0 | 4 |