Sat, Mar 28, 2026·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Seattle Kraken 2, Buffalo Sabres 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 54% of the time.
46%
8%
8%
38%
BUF winsSEA wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against SEA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Stephenson–Kakko–McMann | Eberle–Beniers–Catton | Gaudreau–Tolvanen–Meyers | McCann–Wright–Fisker Molgaard | Gaudreau–Meyers–Fisker Molgaard | McCann–Tolvanen–Fisker Molgaard | Stephenson–Gaudreau–McMann | Gaudreau–Fisker Molgaard–Catton | Gaudreau–McCann–Fisker Molgaard | Montour–Evans | Larsson–Dunn | Oleksiak–Lindgren | Montour–Lindgren | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zucker–McLeod–Quinn | 1:580.07–0.13 | 1:210.00–0.02 | 1:260.01–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.02 | 1:120.24–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.11 | 0:480.14–0.02 | 2:430.31–0.00 | 5:180.01–0.15 | 0:490.01–0.00 | |||
| Tuch–Thompson–Krebs | 4:360.16–0.04 | 1:450.43–0.21 | 0:300.00–0.01 | 5:400.56–0.22 | 2:550.05–0.04 | ||||||||
| Carrick–Malenstyn–Kozak | 2:390.35–0.10 | 2:090.02–0.39 | 0:360.00–0.07 | 3:260.02–0.16 | 2:090.27–0.23 | 0:360.08–0.00 | |||||||
| Tuch–Thompson–Doan | 1:050.00–0.03 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.02 | 2:200.00–0.13 | 1:280.10–0.20 | 0:550.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Norris–Krebs–Benson | 1:090.07–0.13 | 2:380.08–0.13 | 1:380.20–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Norris–Doan–Benson | 1:020.22–0.03 | 0:350.01–0.00 | 0:410.04–0.01 | 1:560.01–0.00 | 0:550.22–0.03 | ||||||||
| Thompson–Quinn–Doan | 0:590.00–0.08 | 0:450.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Samuelsson–Dahlin | 3:530.04–0.16 | 4:040.50–0.26 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:590.00–0.08 | 0:540.00–0.08 | 7:540.58–0.34 | 1:560.00–0.04 | 2:550.00–0.12 | |||||
| Byram–Power | 3:200.22–0.13 | 2:180.00–0.18 | 1:050.24–0.00 | 2:410.00–0.18 | 6:050.45–0.30 | 1:050.08–0.00 | |||||||
| Stanley–Timmins | 0:300.25–0.00 | 1:290.00–0.00 | 0:350.01–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.04 | 0:430.03–0.21 | 2:070.16–0.13 | 2:120.49–0.14 | 2:340.01–0.15 | |||||
| Dahlin–Byram | 1:550.07–0.17 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:370.07–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.17 | 0:420.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Timmins–Samuelsson | 1:370.00–0.22 | 0:300.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Samuelsson–Power | 0:400.00–0.01 | 0:560.02–0.03 | 0:350.02–0.00 | 1:140.00–0.01 | |||||||||
| Samuelsson–Byram | |||||||||||||
| Timmins–Byram | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:390.01–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFSEAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
| 26 | 26:25 | 1:01 | 2:00 | 4 | 1 | |
| 26 | 26:14 | 1:01 | 1:33 | 0 | 7 | |
| 30 | 25:10 | 0:50 | 1:50 | 6 | 2 | |
| 28 | 24:32 | 0:53 | 1:57 | 6 | 4 | |
| 24 | 24:21 | 1:01 | 2:52 | 6 | 0 | |
| 26 | 23:07 | 0:53 | 1:51 | 6 | 3 | |
| 29 | 23:03 | 0:48 | 1:30 | 4 | 7 | |
| 23 | 22:20 | 0:58 | 2:00 | 1 | 0 | |
| 24 | 21:36 | 0:54 | 1:44 | 3 | 1 | |
| 26 | 21:29 | 0:50 | 1:22 | 4 | 1 | |
| 25 | 20:32 | 0:49 | 1:19 | 3 | 1 | |
| 24 | 20:14 | 0:51 | 1:17 | 4 | 4 | |
| 22 | 19:30 | 0:53 | 1:36 | 3 | 0 | |
| 23 | 18:37 | 0:49 | 2:16 | 2 | 4 | |
| 25 | 17:54 | 0:43 | 1:30 | 2 | 6 | |
| 23 | 17:50 | 0:47 | 1:43 | 1 | 0 | |
| 23 | 17:06 | 0:45 | 1:55 | 7 | 1 | |
| 22 | 17:02 | 0:46 | 1:17 | 3 | 3 | |
| 23 | 16:44 | 0:44 | 1:23 | 4 | 4 | |
| 22 | 16:40 | 0:45 | 1:38 | 1 | 3 | |
| 19 | 15:17 | 0:48 | 1:22 | 5 | 2 | |
| 20 | 15:16 | 0:46 | 1:24 | 4 | 2 | |
| 18 | 15:08 | 0:50 | 1:57 | 4 | 4 | |
| 23 | 14:54 | 0:39 | 1:27 | 5 | 5 | |
| 19 | 14:39 | 0:46 | 1:54 | 1 | 2 | |
| 20 | 14:07 | 0:42 | 1:14 | 0 | 8 | |
| 19 | 14:05 | 0:44 | 1:51 | 7 | 1 | |
| 16 | 13:21 | 0:50 | 1:25 | 2 | 2 | |
| 18 | 12:54 | 0:43 | 1:25 | 0 | 7 | |
| 16 | 12:17 | 0:46 | 1:48 | 1 | 0 | |
| 15 | 11:44 | 0:47 | 1:15 | 2 | 4 | |
| 22 | 10:50 | 0:30 | 0:58 | 4 | 4 | |
| 18 | 10:44 | 0:36 | 1:09 | 2 | 1 | |
| 15 | 10:40 | 0:43 | 1:03 | 0 | 2 | |
| 15 | 7:51 | 0:31 | 1:02 | 2 | 1 | |
| 6 | 3:36 | 0:36 | 0:46 | 2 | 1 |