Sat, Mar 28, 2026·Enterprise Center, St. Louis
Toronto Maple Leafs 1, St. Louis Blues 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 78% of the time.
71%
14%
STL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 21:33 | 0.03 | 40.7% | +12.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:03 | 0.03 | 42.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:00 | 0.00 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:26 | 0.02 | 21.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:46 | 0.00 | 10.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:44 | 0.00 | 30.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:43 | 0.04 | 17.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:43 | 0.00 | 23.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:35 | 0.11 | 14.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:23 | 0.02 | 22.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 16:07 | 0.01 | 14.8% | +12.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 15:26 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:03 | 0.35 | 37.0% | +12.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:48 | 0.33 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:09 | 0.18 | 31.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:22 | 0.12 | 31.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:30 | 0.14 | 52.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:49 | 0.08 | 30.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 38 | 33 | 5 | .868 | 3.13 | −1.9 | 59:54 |
St. Louis Blues
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 22:37 | 0.16 | 77.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 21:51 | 0.10 | 65.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:11 | 0.05 | 75.4% | +22.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 19:59 | 0.06 | 63.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 19:57 | 0.17 | 61.5% | +14.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 18:17 | 0.41 | 68.7% | +25.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 17:36 | 0.38 | 64.3% | +22.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 16:31 | 0.18 | 74.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:21 | 0.16 | 71.5% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 15:38 | 0.24 | 87.1% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 14:38 | 0.19 | 81.2% | +3.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:07 | 0.05 | 81.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 13:42 | 0.21 | 83.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 13:37 | 0.04 | 84.4% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:34 | 0.19 | 95.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:09 | 0.23 | 49.5% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:37 | 0.30 | 56.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:38 | 0.00 | 52.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 13 | 12 | 1 | .923 | 1.46 | +0.5 | 60:00 |