Sat, Mar 28, 2026·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville
Montréal Canadiens 4, Nashville Predators 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 75% of the time.
17%
68%
NSH winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:34 | 0.05 | 41.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 21:19 | 0.03 | 90.7% | +15.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:47 | 0.00 | 27.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:15 | 0.00 | 61.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 18:53 | 0.41 | 50.5% | +23.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 1 | 17:23 | 0.04 | 71.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 16:45 | 0.50 | 51.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 16:28 | 0.53 | 59.2% | +8.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:18 | 0.00 | 63.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:13 | 0.00 | 76.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 16:11 | 0.35 | 78.8% | +18.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 16:05 | 0.33 | 77.9% | +18.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 15:11 | 0.24 | 79.2% | +18.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:47 | 0.14 | 67.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:44 | 0.51 | 57.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:15 | 0.29 | 75.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:59 | 0.11 | 55.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:53 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 24 | 23 | 1 | .958 | 2.00 | +1.0 | 60:00 |
Nashville Predators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:30 | 0.02 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:02 | 0.06 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:00 | 0.01 | 25.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 19:26 | 0.10 | 39.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:11 | 0.23 | 78.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:24 | 0.25 | 23.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:41 | 0.22 | 41.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:07 | 0.08 | 6.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:35 | 0.13 | 35.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:23 | 0.43 | 76.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:40 | 0.00 | 25.9% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:31 | 0.06 | 60.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:16 | 0.00 | 9.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:10 | 0.00 | 17.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:45 | 0.36 | 52.7% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:09 | 0.01 | 2.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:00 | 0.04 | 11.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:15 | 0.00 | 48.7% | +0.2 |
| L | 32 | 28 | 4 | .875 | 3.53 | −0.5 | 60:00 |