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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 28, 2026·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Philadelphia Flyers 5, Detroit Red Wings 3

Away

Philadelphia Flyers

5

Final

Home

Detroit Red Wings

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 75% of the time.

DET winsPHI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 4:07Goal by Tippett (Zegras)+15 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kane, Copp, DeBrincat, Seider, Edvinsson · PHI Ristolainen, Sanheim, Tippett, Zegras, Barkey

  3. P1 4:22Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Vladar
  4. P1 4:35Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Vladar
  5. P1 4:49Shot by Johansson, saved by Vladar
  6. P1 5:35Shot by Finnie, saved by Vladar
  7. P1 6:46Shot by Edvinsson, saved by Vladar
  8. P1 9:56Shot by Raymond, saved by Vladar
  9. P1 10:37Shot by Glendening, saved by Gibson
  10. P1 12:07Shot by Chiarot, saved by Vladar
  11. P1 14:54Shot by Konecny, saved by Gibson
  12. P1 15:02Shot by Drysdale, saved by Gibson
  13. P1 18:03Shot by Tippett, saved by Gibson
  14. P1 19:16Shot by Dvorak, saved by Gibson
  15. P1 19:36Shot by Glendening, saved by Gibson
  16. P1 19:59Shot by Drysdale, saved by Gibson
  17. P1 0:00Period end
  18. P2 0:00Period start
  19. P2 0:43Shot by Seider, saved by Vladar
  20. P2 2:19Shot by Cates, saved by Gibson
  21. P2 3:15Shot by Glendening, saved by Gibson
  22. P2 4:58Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Vladar
  23. P2 5:20Shot by Mazur, saved by Vladar
  24. P2 7:12Drysdale: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Faulk, Compher, Larkin, Johansson, Raymond · PHI Tippett, Zegras, York, Drysdale, Barkey

  25. P2 7:46Shot by Kane, saved by Vladar5v4
  26. P2 9:54Shot by Copp, saved by Vladar
  27. P2 11:10Shot by Bernard-Docker, saved by Vladar
  28. P2 12:22Goal by Tippett (Barkey, Drysdale)+16 pts WP

    On ice: DET Seider, Edvinsson, Mazur, Kasper, Finnie · PHI Tippett, Zegras, York, Drysdale, Barkey

  29. P2 14:43Shot by Konecny, saved by Gibson
  30. P2 14:55Shot by York, saved by Gibson
  31. P2 15:48Larkin: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DET Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond, Edvinsson · PHI Seeler, Couturier, Grundstrom, Tippett, Zegras, Andrae

  32. P2 16:05Shot by Michkov, saved by Gibson4v5
  33. P2 16:07Shot by Cates, saved by Gibson4v5
  34. P2 16:08Goal by Cates (Michkov, Konecny)4v5+7 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Faulk, Copp, Compher · PHI Ristolainen, Hathaway, Konecny, Cates, Zegras, Michkov

  35. P2 17:18Shot by Seider, saved by Vladar
  36. P2 17:31Shot by Seider, saved by Vladar
  37. P2 17:32Shot by Edvinsson, saved by Vladar
  38. P2 18:08Shot by Dvorak, saved by Gibson
  39. P2 18:19Andrae: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Bernard-Docker, Johansson, Mazur, Kasper, Finnie · PHI Seeler, Dvorak, Konecny, Andrae, Bump

  40. P2 19:28Shot by Kane, saved by Vladar5v4
  41. P2 19:48Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Vladar5v4
  42. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 0:32Shot by Seider, saved by Vladar
  45. P3 0:47Shot by Tippett, saved by Gibson
  46. P3 2:59Shot by Kane, saved by Vladar
  47. P3 4:42Shot by Tippett, saved by Gibson
  48. P3 5:09Shot by Grundstrom, saved by Gibson
  49. P3 6:05Appleton: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Perron, Chiarot, Faulk, Appleton, Shine · PHI Seeler, Couturier, Glendening, Hathaway, Andrae

  50. P3 7:19Goal by Tippett (Drysdale, Konecny)4v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Faulk, Kasper, Finnie · PHI Sanheim, Dvorak, Tippett, Drysdale, Barkey

  51. P3 8:21Michkov: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Bernard-Docker, Johansson, Mazur, Kasper, Finnie · PHI Seeler, Dvorak, Grundstrom, Andrae, Michkov

  52. P3 8:21Kasper: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Bernard-Docker, Johansson, Mazur, Kasper, Finnie · PHI Seeler, Dvorak, Grundstrom, Andrae, Michkov

  53. P3 9:28Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Talbot4v4
  54. P3 9:48Shot by Faulk, saved by Vladar4v4
  55. P3 9:50Shot by Compher, saved by Vladar4v4
  56. P3 10:13Shot by Sanheim, saved by Talbot4v4
  57. P3 10:41Shot by Glendening, saved by Talbot
  58. P3 10:54Shot by Johansson, saved by Vladar
  59. P3 11:06Shot by Shine, saved by Vladar
  60. P3 11:49Perron: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: DET Perron, Chiarot, Faulk, Copp, Appleton · PHI Seeler, Tippett, Zegras, Andrae, Barkey

  61. P3 12:14Shot by Tippett, saved by Talbot
  62. P3 13:43Goal by Appleton (Faulk)0 pts WP

    On ice: DET Appleton, Shine, Seider, Raymond, Edvinsson · PHI Grundstrom, Cates, York, Drysdale, Michkov

  63. P3 14:10Shot by Seider, saved by Vladar
  64. P3 14:44Shot by Edvinsson, saved by Vladar
  65. P3 14:46Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Vladar
  66. P3 15:10Goal by DeBrincat (Kane, Seider)+2 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kane, Chiarot, Copp, DeBrincat, Seider · PHI Ristolainen, Sanheim, Dvorak, Konecny, Bump

  67. P3 15:36Shot by Larkin, saved by Vladar6v5
  68. P3 15:48Shot by Larkin, saved by Vladar6v5
  69. P3 16:14Goal by Raymond (Seider, Kane)6v5+11 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kane, Copp, Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond · PHI Tippett, Zegras, York, Drysdale, Barkey

  70. P3 17:31Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Vladar6v5
  71. P3 17:43Shot by Larkin, saved by Vladar6v5
  72. P3 17:56Goal by Couturier (Tippett)6v5+9 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kane, Copp, Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond · PHI Couturier, Ristolainen, Tippett, Cates, Drysdale

  73. P3 18:58Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Vladar6v5
  74. P3 0:00Period end
  75. P3 0:00Final