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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 28, 2026·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Philadelphia Flyers 5, Detroit Red Wings 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 75% of the time.

DET winsPHI wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against PHI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Dvorak–Konecny–BumpTippett–Zegras–BarkeyGrundstrom–Cates–MichkovCouturier–Glendening–HathawayRistolainen–SanheimYork–DrysdaleSeeler–AndraeAndrae–Drysdale
Kane–Copp–DeBrincat3:110.31–0.113:300.00–0.202:540.07–0.040:520.01–0.007:170.40–0.232:580.02–0.111:270.00–0.10
Compher–Larkin–Raymond4:060.09–0.113:100.00–0.121:050.00–0.233:360.09–0.103:270.02–0.251:350.00–0.130:430.00–0.00
Mazur–Kasper–Finnie1:280.00–0.051:030.07–0.164:160.03–0.042:070.00–0.001:570.00–0.163:150.10–0.09
Perron–Appleton–Shine1:230.02–0.151:130.21–0.003:030.01–0.041:330.21–0.001:430.02–0.183:330.03–0.00
Compher–Kasper–Finnie1:260.00–0.200:480.00–0.200:300.00–0.050:370.00–0.00
Seider–Edvinsson4:270.29–0.102:530.21–0.343:390.18–0.093:430.01–0.068:260.53–0.392:450.12–0.164:440.05–0.14
Chiarot–Faulk4:380.05–0.273:410.07–0.001:260.00–0.031:540.00–0.244:130.01–0.205:250.04–0.382:410.07–0.000:360.00–0.00
Bernard-Docker–Johansson1:050.00–0.053:140.00–0.363:470.03–0.002:230.01–0.323:220.04–0.003:470.00–0.473:570.01–0.25
Chiarot–Seider0:320.08–0.000:540.00–0.00
Faulk–Johansson0:360.04–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndRaymond FCompher FLarkin FCopp FKane FDeBrincat FFinnie FMazur FKasper FAppleton FPerron FShine FSeider DEdvinsson DChiarot DFaulk DJohansson DBernard-Docker DGibson GTalbot GKonecny FBump FDvorak FZegras FBarkey FTippett FGrundstrom FCates FMichkov FCouturier FHathaway FGlendening FSanheim DRistolainen DYork DDrysdale DSeeler DAndrae DVladar G
DETPHIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Moritz SeiderDET2828:121:002:0144
Travis SanheimPHI2926:000:541:4133
Rasmus RistolainenPHI2623:270:541:5361
Alex DeBrincatDET2222:391:021:4182
Cam YorkPHI2721:590:492:1453
Andrew CoppDET2121:101:001:2964
Patrick KaneDET2120:430:591:4181
Simon EdvinssonDET2320:320:541:2703
Lucas RaymondDET2119:530:571:5132
Jamie DrysdalePHI2619:370:451:1642
Dylan LarkinDET2018:420:561:5232
Ben ChiarotDET2318:300:481:3033
Justin FaulkDET2518:290:441:3033
Trevor ZegrasPHI2118:120:521:3141
Travis KonecnyPHI2217:030:471:2751
Christian DvorakPHI2416:490:421:2731
Owen TippettPHI2216:380:451:3031
J.T. CompherDET2016:330:501:3015
Sean CouturierPHI2415:350:391:4235
Denver BarkeyPHI2014:440:441:2110
Nick SeelerPHI2214:430:401:2420
Emil AndraePHI2114:140:411:2400
Albert JohanssonDET1913:520:441:0303
Marco KasperDET2013:510:421:3404
Luke GlendeningPHI2213:430:371:4124
Jacob Bernard-DockerDET1613:160:501:1503
Emmitt FinnieDET1913:110:421:0404
Alex BumpPHI1713:110:471:2731
Noah CatesPHI2012:590:391:0251
Matvei MichkovPHI1812:580:431:1261
Garnet HathawayPHI2011:500:360:5942
Carl GrundstromPHI1611:220:431:1630
Carter MazurDET1710:320:370:5603
Mason AppletonDET1510:240:421:3201
Dominik ShineDET1310:040:461:4301
David PerronDET149:210:401:0501