Sat, Mar 28, 2026·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Philadelphia Flyers 5, Detroit Red Wings 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 75% of the time.
19%
67%
DET winsPHI wins
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26:00 | 0.06 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 23:27 | 0.01 | 50.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:59 | 0.00 | 78.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19:37 | 0.15 | 77.5% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:12 | 0.00 | 66.3% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 17:00 | 0.83 | 50.8% | +8.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:46 | 0.06 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 3 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 7 | 16:38 | 0.66 | 69.2% | +42.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:35 | 0.51 | 96.8% | +9.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:44 | 0.35 | 72.7% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:43 | 0.01 | 74.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:14 | 0.00 | 74.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13:43 | 0.59 | 96.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:08 | 0.09 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12:59 | 0.66 | 47.2% | +6.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 12:58 | 0.10 | 30.8% | +6.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:22 | 0.05 | 41.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:09 | 0.04 | 96.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 35 | 32 | 3 | .914 | 2.66 | −0.3 | 59:46 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 28:09 | 0.06 | 53.5% | +13.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 22:36 | 0.76 | 49.3% | +2.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:07 | 0.13 | 44.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20:40 | 0.33 | 49.3% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:29 | 0.24 | 47.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:53 | 0.09 | 18.2% | +11.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:42 | 0.52 | 16.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:30 | 0.00 | 36.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:29 | 0.02 | 33.0% | +0.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:33 | 0.09 | 10.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:52 | 0.06 | 10.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:51 | 0.00 | 13.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:16 | 0.02 | 7.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:11 | 0.07 | 14.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:32 | 0.03 | 23.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:24 | 0.10 | 64.4% | +0.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 10:04 | 0.13 | 70.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:21 | 0.00 | 51.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 21 | 17 | 4 | .810 | 2.69 | −1.3 | 47:19 | |
| – | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 0.37 | +0.4 | 9:28 |