Mon, Mar 30, 2026·Ball Arena, Denver
Calgary Flames 2, Colorado Avalanche 9
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 76% of the time.
70%
18%
COL winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 24:04 | 0.12 | 27.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 23:10 | 0.00 | 36.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:12 | 0.01 | 56.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:56 | 0.02 | 54.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:56 | 0.28 | 58.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16:24 | 0.39 | 60.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:12 | 0.14 | 43.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 16:09 | 0.20 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:37 | 0.03 | 25.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:17 | 0.21 | 60.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:00 | 0.28 | 24.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14:45 | 0.30 | 42.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:07 | 0.28 | 23.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:55 | 0.07 | 21.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:19 | 0.11 | 24.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 12:47 | 0.27 | 43.8% | +1.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −3 | 1 | 11:55 | 0.37 | 36.7% | +1.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 11:50 | 0.17 | 35.4% | 0.0 |
| – | 33 | 28 | 5 | .848 | 3.47 | −1.5 | 50:41 | |
| L | 16 | 12 | 4 | .750 | 1.73 | −2.3 | 9:19 |
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 21:55 | 0.27 | 76.1% | +12.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:56 | 0.12 | 35.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 2 | 19:35 | 0.18 | 74.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 5 | 19:20 | 0.48 | 61.0% | +0.7 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | −1 | 5 | 19:08 | 0.74 | 41.1% | +20.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 18:56 | 0.27 | 53.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 17:57 | 0.49 | 61.6% | +11.8 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 2 | 17:15 | 0.05 | 41.7% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 16:46 | 0.20 | 63.4% | +6.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 16:43 | 0.19 | 69.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 15:42 | 0.14 | 64.5% | +5.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 15:08 | 0.60 | 59.0% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:43 | 0.18 | 39.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:38 | 0.12 | 49.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 3 | 13:11 | 0.23 | 90.8% | +14.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 13:05 | 0.55 | 77.4% | +5.5 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 2 | 12:07 | 0.22 | 70.9% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 10:55 | 0.17 | 66.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 27 | 2 | .931 | 3.23 | +1.2 | 60:00 |