Skip to content
Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 31, 2026·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

New York Islanders 3, Buffalo Sabres 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 83% of the time.

BUF winsNYI wins

New York Islanders

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Matthew SchaeferD · #480110429:400.3032.0%+41.0
Bo HorvatC · #140330321:220.3821.9%+71.3
Adam PelechD · #30000221:170.1740.9%0.0
Mathew BarzalC · #130110320:240.1511.3%+1.4
Carson SoucyD · #4000−1019:220.0026.2%0.0
Ryan PulockD · #6000+1219:170.0236.4%0.0
Brayden SchennC · #101120118:540.2713.6%+30.3
Calum RitchieC · #641010116:330.2040.7%+28.9
Emil HeinemanLW · #510000115:210.0035.2%0.0
Jean-Gabriel PageauC · #440000115:190.0242.9%0.0
Anders LeeLW · #27101+1214:100.1934.0%+41.0
Casey CizikasC · #530000113:170.0126.9%0.0
Adam BoqvistD · #340000313:020.2125.2%0.0
Kyle MacLeanC · #320000012:180.0638.0%0.0
Scott MayfieldD · #240000012:010.0012.4%0.0
Ondrej PalatLW · #81000−1211:420.1736.2%0.0
Anthony DuclairLW · #110000011:290.0015.1%0.0
Marc GatcombC · #160000211:070.1437.2%0.0
Ilya Sorokin#30L32293.9063.69+0.757:52

Buffalo Sabres

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Rasmus DahlinD · #26000+1323:140.8689.3%0.0
Mattias SamuelssonD · #230110122:440.1089.0%+5.8
Bowen ByramD · #41010222:140.4462.2%+5.8
Tage ThompsonC · #721120321:310.6880.6%+76.3
Alex TuchRW · #890110020:250.1683.3%+45.9
Owen PowerD · #25000−2119:160.1349.4%0.0
Ryan McLeodC · #71000−1218:380.1172.3%0.0
Peyton KrebsC · #191010117:370.1674.3%+45.9
Jack QuinnRW · #22112−1716:110.5861.4%+45.2
Jason ZuckerLW · #17000−1215:320.2561.4%0.0
Josh NorrisC · #9022+1115:040.0975.8%+45.2
Zach MetsaD · #73000+1114:040.0262.7%0.0
Logan StanleyD · #640000113:540.0964.8%0.0
Josh DoanRW · #91000+1113:170.0981.9%0.0
Zach BensonLW · #6000+1413:020.5282.4%0.0
Beck MalenstynLW · #290000211:200.1967.7%0.0
Jordan GreenwayLW · #120000011:130.0067.7%0.0
Sam CarrickC · #10000016:470.1360.2%0.0
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen#1W28253.8932.29−0.759:41