Tue, Mar 31, 2026·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
New York Islanders 3, Buffalo Sabres 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 83% of the time.
78%
12%
BUF winsNYI wins
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 29:40 | 0.30 | 32.0% | +41.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 21:22 | 0.38 | 21.9% | +71.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:17 | 0.17 | 40.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:24 | 0.15 | 11.3% | +1.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:22 | 0.00 | 26.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:17 | 0.02 | 36.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18:54 | 0.27 | 13.6% | +30.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:33 | 0.20 | 40.7% | +28.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:21 | 0.00 | 35.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:19 | 0.02 | 42.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:10 | 0.19 | 34.0% | +41.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:17 | 0.01 | 26.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:02 | 0.21 | 25.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:18 | 0.06 | 38.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:01 | 0.00 | 12.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:42 | 0.17 | 36.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:29 | 0.00 | 15.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:07 | 0.14 | 37.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 32 | 29 | 3 | .906 | 3.69 | +0.7 | 57:52 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 23:14 | 0.86 | 89.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:44 | 0.10 | 89.0% | +5.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:14 | 0.44 | 62.2% | +5.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21:31 | 0.68 | 80.6% | +76.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:25 | 0.16 | 83.3% | +45.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:16 | 0.13 | 49.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:38 | 0.11 | 72.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:37 | 0.16 | 74.3% | +45.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 7 | 16:11 | 0.58 | 61.4% | +45.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:32 | 0.25 | 61.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 15:04 | 0.09 | 75.8% | +45.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:04 | 0.02 | 62.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:54 | 0.09 | 64.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:17 | 0.09 | 81.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 13:02 | 0.52 | 82.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:20 | 0.19 | 67.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:13 | 0.00 | 67.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:47 | 0.13 | 60.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 2.29 | −0.7 | 59:41 |