Tue, Mar 31, 2026·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
New York Islanders 3, Buffalo Sabres 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 83% of the time.
78%
12%
BUF winsNYI wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NYI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Schenn–Duclair–Barzal | Cizikas–MacLean–Gatcomb | Palat–Pageau–Ritchie | Lee–Horvat–Heineman | Pulock–Schaefer | Pelech–Soucy | Mayfield–Boqvist | Soucy–Schaefer | Pelech–Pulock | Boqvist–Schaefer | Pelech–Schaefer | Mayfield–Soucy | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuch–Thompson–Krebs | 2:220.00–0.00 | 4:000.05–0.14 | 4:100.35–0.07 | 5:560.44–0.07 | 2:440.14–0.14 | 1:080.16–0.00 | 2:200.00–0.01 | 0:300.08–0.00 | 0:470.01–0.00 | |||
| Zucker–McLeod–Quinn | 3:350.58–0.00 | 1:170.09–0.00 | 1:390.05–0.21 | 2:010.01–0.19 | 2:020.13–0.02 | 2:150.09–0.00 | 3:060.55–0.03 | 0:390.00–0.18 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:330.01–0.00 | ||
| Norris–Doan–Benson | 1:430.09–0.11 | 1:240.00–0.00 | 2:090.30–0.08 | 1:450.00–0.00 | 1:140.00–0.09 | 3:260.22–0.02 | 1:230.13–0.08 | 0:550.09–0.00 | 1:050.17–0.00 | |||
| Carrick–Greenway–Malenstyn | 2:460.26–0.00 | 0:490.01–0.06 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.00 | 1:590.27–0.06 | 0:300.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Greenway–Malenstyn–McLeod | 1:200.04–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.01 | 0:330.04–0.00 | |||||||||
| Thompson–Doan–Benson | 0:500.03–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Byram–Power | 1:430.00–0.00 | 2:420.04–0.06 | 3:210.35–0.25 | 3:270.04–0.26 | 2:250.01–0.08 | 3:240.13–0.14 | 4:000.18–0.17 | 1:080.04–0.18 | 1:140.00–0.01 | 0:330.01–0.00 | ||
| Samuelsson–Dahlin | 4:030.70–0.00 | 1:530.09–0.13 | 2:070.00–0.00 | 2:100.20–0.00 | 3:330.29–0.18 | 3:290.22–0.00 | 2:050.68–0.00 | 1:350.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | |||
| Stanley–Metsa | 2:250.22–0.09 | 2:140.03–0.00 | 1:460.00–0.17 | 1:420.01–0.00 | 2:540.07–0.09 | 2:220.00–0.01 | 1:210.14–0.00 | 0:580.09–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | |||
| Samuelsson–Byram | 1:200.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Dahlin–Byram | 0:480.05–0.00 | 1:220.15–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Stanley–Samuelsson | ||||||||||||
| Dahlin–Power | 0:440.00–0.02 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.02 | 0:400.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Samuelsson–Power | 0:440.11–0.00 | 0:360.12–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Dahlin–Metsa |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFNYIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Matthew SchaeferNYI | 29 | 29:40 | 1:01 | 2:58 | 2 | 3 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 26 | 23:14 | 0:54 | 2:08 | 4 | 5 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 27 | 22:44 | 0:51 | 1:36 | 2 | 6 |
 Bowen ByramBUF | 25 | 22:14 | 0:53 | 1:27 | 3 | 4 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 24 | 21:31 | 0:54 | 2:08 | 6 | 2 |
 Bo HorvatNYI | 25 | 21:22 | 0:51 | 2:35 | 5 | 6 |
 Adam PelechNYI | 31 | 21:17 | 0:41 | 1:28 | 2 | 4 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 24 | 20:25 | 0:51 | 1:14 | 5 | 4 |
 Mathew BarzalNYI | 23 | 20:24 | 0:53 | 2:45 | 7 | 0 |
 Carson SoucyNYI | 31 | 19:22 | 0:37 | 1:19 | 1 | 3 |
 Ryan PulockNYI | 30 | 19:17 | 0:39 | 1:29 | 2 | 7 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 24 | 19:16 | 0:48 | 1:33 | 2 | 3 |
 Brayden SchennNYI | 20 | 18:54 | 0:57 | 2:40 | 5 | 0 |
 Ryan McLeodBUF | 27 | 18:38 | 0:41 | 1:14 | 6 | 7 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 21 | 17:37 | 0:50 | 1:15 | 4 | 1 |
 Calum RitchieNYI | 20 | 16:33 | 0:50 | 1:48 | 3 | 1 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 22 | 16:11 | 0:44 | 1:21 | 9 | 4 |
 Jason ZuckerBUF | 21 | 15:32 | 0:44 | 1:20 | 9 | 4 |
 Emil HeinemanNYI | 22 | 15:21 | 0:42 | 1:05 | 2 | 4 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI | 22 | 15:19 | 0:42 | 1:52 | 2 | 6 |
 Josh NorrisBUF | 22 | 15:04 | 0:41 | 1:31 | 2 | 3 |
 Anders LeeNYI | 18 | 14:10 | 0:47 | 2:35 | 3 | 2 |
 Zach MetsaBUF | 15 | 14:04 | 0:56 | 1:43 | 0 | 1 |
 Logan StanleyBUF | 18 | 13:54 | 0:46 | 1:40 | 0 | 3 |
 Josh DoanBUF | 20 | 13:17 | 0:40 | 1:30 | 1 | 3 |
 Casey CizikasNYI | 19 | 13:17 | 0:42 | 1:00 | 2 | 3 |
 Zach BensonBUF | 20 | 13:02 | 0:39 | 1:08 | 1 | 2 |
 Adam BoqvistNYI | 20 | 13:02 | 0:39 | 1:17 | 2 | 2 |
 Kyle MacLeanNYI | 15 | 12:18 | 0:49 | 1:32 | 2 | 0 |
 Scott MayfieldNYI | 17 | 12:01 | 0:42 | 1:22 | 0 | 3 |
 Ondrej PalatNYI | 15 | 11:42 | 0:47 | 1:24 | 1 | 3 |
 Anthony DuclairNYI | 16 | 11:29 | 0:43 | 1:21 | 2 | 0 |
 Beck MalenstynBUF | 17 | 11:20 | 0:40 | 1:29 | 1 | 1 |
 Jordan GreenwayBUF | 17 | 11:13 | 0:40 | 1:28 | 1 | 1 |
 Marc GatcombNYI | 15 | 11:07 | 0:44 | 1:20 | 2 | 0 |
 Sam CarrickBUF | 13 | 6:47 | 0:31 | 1:07 | 1 | 2 |