Tue, Mar 31, 2026·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
New York Islanders 3, Buffalo Sabres 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 83% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 0:41Soucy: High sticking (2 min)
On ice: BUF Thompson, Byram, Doan, Power, Benson · NYI Cizikas, Pelech, Soucy, MacLean, Gatcomb
- P1 0:58Shot by Dahlin, saved by Sorokin5v4
- P1 1:13Shot by Heineman, saved by Luukkonen5v4
- P1 1:31Norris: Interference (2 min)5v4
On ice: BUF Zucker, Thompson, Norris, Dahlin, Quinn · NYI Mayfield, Horvat, Heineman, Schaefer
- P1 1:51Shot by Schaefer, saved by Luukkonen4v4
- P1 2:09Shot by Boqvist, saved by Luukkonen4v4
- P1 3:43Shot by Gatcomb, saved by Luukkonen
- P1 4:28Shot by Zucker, saved by Sorokin
- P1 4:31Shot by McLeod, saved by Sorokin
- P1 8:51Shot by Boqvist, saved by Luukkonen
- P1 9:14Shot by Quinn, saved by Sorokin
- P1 9:42Shot by Stanley, saved by Sorokin
- P1 11:58Shot by McLeod, saved by Sorokin
- P1 13:58Pelech: High sticking (2 min)
On ice: BUF Norris, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Doan, Benson · NYI Lee, Pelech, Soucy, Horvat, Heineman
- P1 14:07Shot by Quinn, saved by Sorokin5v4
- P1 14:08Shot by Thompson, saved by Sorokin5v4
- P1 14:19Goal by Quinn (Norris)5v4+15 pts WP
On ice: BUF Zucker, Thompson, Norris, Dahlin, Quinn · NYI Cizikas, Pageau, Soucy, Pulock
- P1 14:31Shot by Carrick, saved by Sorokin
- P1 14:54Shot by Malenstyn, saved by Sorokin
- P1 16:34Shot by Power, saved by Sorokin
- P1 19:46Shot by Pulock, saved by Luukkonen
- P1 0:00Period end
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 2:18Cizikas: High sticking (2 min)
On ice: BUF Carrick, Greenway, Malenstyn, Byram, Power · NYI Cizikas, Mayfield, Boqvist, MacLean, Gatcomb
- P2 2:49Shot by Horvat, saved by Luukkonen5v4
- P2 4:07Shot by Benson, saved by Sorokin5v4
- P2 4:23Shot by Benson, saved by Sorokin
- P2 4:41Shot by Cizikas, saved by Luukkonen
- P2 6:34Power: Penalty shot slash on breakaway (0 min)
On ice: BUF Zucker, McLeod, Byram, Quinn, Power · NYI Lee, Soucy, Horvat, Heineman, Schaefer
- P2 6:34Shot by Lee, saved by Luukkonenother
- P2 11:10Shot by Palat, saved by Luukkonen
- P2 11:46Shot by Pulock, saved by Luukkonen
- P2 12:32Shot by Quinn, saved by Sorokin
- P2 12:33Shot by Zucker, saved by Sorokin
- P2 13:11Shot by Gatcomb, saved by Luukkonen
- P2 15:24Shot by Palat, saved by Luukkonen
- P2 16:41Shot by Dahlin, saved by Sorokin
- P2 17:41Samuelsson: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)
On ice: BUF Tuch, Thompson, Samuelsson, Krebs, Byram · NYI Horvat, Boqvist, MacLean, Gatcomb, Schaefer
- P2 17:46Shot by Horvat, saved by Luukkonen4v5
- P2 17:57Goal by Ritchie (Schenn, Horvat)4v5+29 pts WP
On ice: BUF Carrick, Stanley, McLeod, Power · NYI Schenn, Horvat, Barzal, Ritchie, Schaefer
- P2 18:51Shot by Byram, saved by Sorokin
- P2 19:47Shot by Quinn, saved by Sorokin
- P2 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 0:01Lee: Fighting (5 min)
On ice: BUF Carrick, Greenway, Malenstyn, Byram, Power · NYI Lee, Pelech, Soucy, Horvat, Heineman
- P3 0:01Carrick: Fighting (5 min)
On ice: BUF Carrick, Greenway, Malenstyn, Byram, Power · NYI Lee, Pelech, Soucy, Horvat, Heineman
- P3 0:31Shot by Doan, saved by Sorokin
- P3 1:26Shot by Norris, saved by Sorokin6v5
- P3 1:28Soucy: Hooking (2 min)6v5
On ice: BUF Tuch, Thompson, Norris, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Krebs · NYI Schenn, Soucy, Duclair, Barzal, Schaefer
- P3 2:40Goal by Thompson (Norris, Quinn)5v4+30 pts WP
On ice: BUF Zucker, Thompson, Norris, Dahlin, Quinn · NYI Mayfield, Horvat, Heineman, Schaefer
- P3 4:17Shot by Metsa, saved by Sorokin
- P3 5:58Shot by Benson, saved by Sorokin
- P3 6:04Shot by Benson, saved by Sorokin
- P3 6:47Shot by Horvat, saved by Luukkonen
- P3 7:24Shot by Quinn, saved by Sorokin
- P3 7:46Shot by Quinn, saved by Sorokin
- P3 8:45Norris: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: BUF Stanley, Norris, Doan, Benson, Metsa · NYI Schenn, Mayfield, Duclair, Barzal, Schaefer
- P3 8:45Mayfield: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: BUF Stanley, Norris, Doan, Benson, Metsa · NYI Schenn, Mayfield, Duclair, Barzal, Schaefer
- P3 8:45Norris: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: BUF Stanley, Norris, Doan, Benson, Metsa · NYI Schenn, Mayfield, Duclair, Barzal, Schaefer
- P3 9:24Shot by Schaefer, saved by Luukkonen4v5
- P3 12:08Shot by Thompson, saved by Sorokin
- P3 13:09Shot by Boqvist, saved by Luukkonen
- P3 13:39Goal by Lee (Horvat, Schaefer)+41 pts WP
On ice: BUF Zucker, McLeod, Byram, Quinn, Power · NYI Lee, Horvat, Pulock, Heineman, Schaefer
- P3 14:51Shot by Schaefer, saved by Luukkonen
- P3 16:10Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Sorokin
- P3 16:59Goal by Krebs (Tuch, Thompson)+46 pts WP
On ice: BUF Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Krebs, Metsa · NYI Palat, Soucy, Horvat, Heineman, Schaefer
- P3 17:13Shot by Pelech, saved by Luukkonen
- P3 17:15Shot by Pageau, saved by Luukkonen
- P3 17:16Shot by Pelech, saved by Luukkonen
- P3 17:30Shot by Barzal, saved by Luukkonen5v6
- P3 18:04Shot by Barzal, saved by Luukkonen5v6
- P3 18:17Goal by Byram (Samuelsson)5v6+6 pts WP
On ice: BUF Norris, Samuelsson, Byram, Doan, Benson · NYI Schenn, Lee, Horvat, Barzal, Ritchie, Schaefer
- P3 18:34Shot by Dahlin, saved by Sorokin
- P3 18:48Shot by Malenstyn, saved by Sorokin
- P3 19:19Shot by Schaefer, saved by Luukkonen5v6
- P3 19:50Shot by Barzal, saved by Luukkonen5v6
- P3 19:59Goal by Schenn (Barzal, Horvat)5v6+1 pts WP
On ice: BUF Tuch, Thompson, Samuelsson, Krebs, Power · NYI Schenn, Lee, Horvat, Barzal, Ritchie, Schaefer
- P3 0:00Period end5v6
- P3 0:00Final5v6