Tue, Mar 31, 2026·Capital One Arena, Washington
Philadelphia Flyers 4, Washington Capitals 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 73% of the time.
19%
65%
WSH winsPHI wins
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 24:59 | 0.03 | 72.3% | +12.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 22:59 | 0.82 | 74.6% | +26.6 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 22:30 | 0.17 | 69.1% | +26.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20:37 | 0.39 | 61.6% | +26.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:49 | 0.09 | 51.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:19 | 0.15 | 91.6% | +12.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:18 | 0.13 | 45.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 17:46 | 0.06 | 54.9% | +22.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:17 | 0.16 | 30.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16:54 | 0.81 | 72.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:12 | 0.07 | 79.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:09 | 0.04 | 89.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 13:38 | 0.21 | 32.6% | +12.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:59 | 0.00 | 78.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:02 | 0.00 | 30.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:46 | 0.49 | 56.8% | +22.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:22 | 0.00 | 56.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:23 | 0.02 | 56.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 17 | 12 | 5 | .706 | 2.06 | −2.9 | 57:54 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:53 | 0.00 | 39.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 21:14 | 0.00 | 21.6% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:11 | 0.01 | 38.7% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 20:57 | 0.28 | 17.9% | +22.5 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 20:22 | 0.14 | 58.6% | +48.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 19:33 | 0.20 | 35.3% | +18.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:16 | 0.28 | 38.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 18:03 | 0.21 | 56.8% | +26.4 | |
| 0 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 0 | 17:18 | 0.00 | 32.5% | +58.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:17 | 0.07 | 30.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:17 | 0.00 | 43.3% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15:44 | 0.75 | 53.9% | +26.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:59 | 0.09 | 48.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:44 | 0.00 | 38.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11:29 | 0.21 | 23.0% | +35.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:58 | 0.05 | 20.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:29 | 0.00 | 1.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:21 | 0.00 | 5.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 24 | 20 | 4 | .833 | 3.62 | −0.4 | 59:55 |