Thu, Apr 2, 2026·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise
Calgary Flames 3, Vegas Golden Knights 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 71% of the time.
64%
8%
21%
VGK winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 25:16 | 0.03 | 56.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 23:05 | 0.00 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 20:20 | 0.00 | 49.1% | +17.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 19:50 | 0.00 | 20.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:29 | 0.03 | 10.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:37 | 0.19 | 32.5% | +17.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:12 | 0.09 | 48.2% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 18:05 | 0.55 | 53.4% | +35.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 16:46 | 0.01 | 37.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 15:43 | 0.27 | 51.2% | +15.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:34 | 0.12 | 63.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 15:09 | 0.43 | 63.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:43 | 0.00 | 32.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:27 | 0.00 | 18.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:58 | 0.18 | 17.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:28 | 0.01 | 23.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:22 | 0.06 | 26.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:15 | 0.06 | 26.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 34 | 28 | 6 | .824 | 2.82 | −3.2 | 59:11 |
Vegas Golden Knights
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 20:50 | 0.34 | 76.0% | +17.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 20:35 | 0.14 | 44.6% | +17.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 19:46 | 0.07 | 73.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19:45 | 0.54 | 51.8% | +17.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:09 | 0.22 | 50.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:06 | 0.02 | 43.6% | +16.7 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 18:02 | 0.10 | 44.5% | +56.4 | |
| 3 | 2 | 5 | +3 | 6 | 17:45 | 0.35 | 81.1% | +61.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 17:31 | 0.35 | 81.7% | +0.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:45 | 0.09 | 57.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:08 | 0.24 | 64.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:02 | 0.41 | 61.4% | +39.6 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 1 | 14:47 | 0.41 | 74.6% | +49.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:53 | 0.00 | 38.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:45 | 0.00 | 39.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:40 | 0.00 | 56.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:10 | 0.00 | 17.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:27 | 0.02 | 23.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 22 | 19 | 3 | .864 | 2.02 | −1.0 | 59:54 |