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Ice Lab

Sat, Apr 4, 2026·Capital One Arena, Washington

Buffalo Sabres 2, Washington Capitals 6

Away

Buffalo Sabres

2

Final

Home

Washington Capitals

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 66% of the time.

WSH winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:34Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Lyon
  3. P1 1:00Shot by Quinn, saved by Thompson
  4. P1 1:48Shot by Stanley, saved by Thompson
  5. P1 2:47Shot by Thompson, saved by Thompson
  6. P1 3:13Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Lyon
  7. P1 3:15Goal by Chychrun (Ovechkin, Dubois)+12 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, van Riemsdyk, Chychrun, Dubois, McMichael · BUF Thompson, Byram, Doan, Power, Benson

  8. P1 3:35Goal by Strome (Protas, Ovechkin)+12 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, van Riemsdyk, Strome, Chychrun, Protas · BUF Stanley, McLeod, Quinn, Benson, Metsa

  9. P1 4:16Shot by Tuch, saved by Thompson
  10. P1 4:26Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Thompson
  11. P1 5:52Goal by McMichael (Chychrun, Dubois)+9 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Wilson, van Riemsdyk, Chychrun, Dubois, McMichael · BUF Greenway, Thompson, Byram, Doan, Metsa

  12. P1 6:09Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Thompson
  13. P1 6:30Goal by Dahlin (Norris, Tuch)+9 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, van Riemsdyk, Strome, Chychrun, Protas · BUF Zucker, Tuch, Norris, Samuelsson, Dahlin

  14. P1 7:06Shot by Roy, saved by Ellis
  15. P1 7:44Shot by McMichael, saved by Ellis
  16. P1 8:26Shot by Stanley, saved by Thompson
  17. P1 8:36Shot by Norris, saved by Thompson
  18. P1 9:56Shot by Benson, saved by Thompson
  19. P1 10:26Shot by Benson, saved by Thompson
  20. P1 11:41Shot by Leonard, saved by Ellis
  21. P1 12:15Goal by Malenstyn (Greenway, Dahlin)+12 pts WP

    On ice: WSH van Riemsdyk, Chychrun, Duhaime, Lapierre, Frank · BUF Greenway, Malenstyn, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Kozak

  22. P1 14:48Shot by Quinn, saved by Thompson
  23. P1 15:05Shot by Protas, saved by Ellis
  24. P1 15:08Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Ellis
  25. P1 16:05Shot by Dubois, saved by Ellis
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 1:16Shot by Quinn, saved by Thompson
  29. P2 1:42Shot by Quinn, saved by Thompson
  30. P2 2:35Shot by Sandin, saved by Ellis
  31. P2 3:56Shot by Chychrun, saved by Ellis
  32. P2 4:21Benson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Wilson, Roy, Chychrun, Dubois, McMichael · BUF McLeod, Byram, Quinn, Power, Benson

  33. P2 5:08Leonard: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Wilson, Chychrun, Dubois, Leonard · BUF Tuch, Greenway, Samuelsson, Metsa

  34. P2 5:47Shot by Protas, saved by Ellis4v4
  35. P2 6:06Goal by Protas, unassisted4v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Strome, Fehérváry, Protas, Hutson · BUF McLeod, Byram, Doan, Power

  36. P2 6:39Shot by Norris, saved by Thompson4v5
  37. P2 6:40Shot by Thompson, saved by Thompson4v5
  38. P2 6:58Shot by Norris, saved by Thompson4v5
  39. P2 8:04Shot by Tuch, saved by Thompson
  40. P2 9:08Shot by Krebs, saved by Thompson
  41. P2 10:06Shot by Hutson, saved by Ellis
  42. P2 10:58Strome: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, van Riemsdyk, Strome, Chychrun, Protas · BUF McLeod, Byram, Quinn, Power, Benson

  43. P2 11:01Shot by Quinn, saved by Thompson4v5
  44. P2 11:17Shot by Beauvillier, saved by Ellis4v5
  45. P2 12:12Shot by Benson, saved by Thompson4v5
  46. P2 12:22McMichael: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: WSH Wilson, van Riemsdyk, Sandin, McMichael · BUF Tuch, McLeod, Byram, Doan, Benson

  47. P2 12:31Shot by Norris, saved by Thompson3v5
  48. P2 13:46Shot by Thompson, saved by Thompson4v5
  49. P2 14:22Shot by Tuch, saved by Thompson
  50. P2 14:29Shot by McMichael, saved by Ellis
  51. P2 16:20Shot by Krebs, saved by Thompson
  52. P2 16:52Shot by Thompson, saved by Thompson
  53. P2 18:16Shot by Quinn, saved by Thompson
  54. P2 19:42Samuelsson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Wilson, Dubois, Sandin, McMichael, Hutson · BUF Tuch, Thompson, Samuelsson, Krebs, Power

  55. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 1:34Shot by McMichael, saved by Ellis5v4
  58. P3 1:48Shot by Hutson, saved by Ellis
  59. P3 1:49Shot by McMichael, saved by Ellis
  60. P3 2:18Shot by Strome, saved by Ellis
  61. P3 3:13van Riemsdyk: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: WSH van Riemsdyk, Beauvillier, Chychrun, Lapierre, Frank · BUF Tuch, Norris, Samuelsson, Power, Benson

  62. P3 5:31Shot by Greenway, saved by Thompson
  63. P3 6:26Goal by Leonard (Hutson, Sourdif)+4 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Strome, Roy, Sourdif, Leonard, Hutson · BUF Zucker, Stanley, McLeod, Quinn, Metsa

  64. P3 7:41Shot by Protas, saved by Ellis
  65. P3 8:32Hutson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Roy, Duhaime, Lapierre, Frank, Hutson · BUF Zucker, McLeod, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Quinn

  66. P3 8:55Goal by Wilson (McMichael)4v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Wilson, Roy, Fehérváry, McMichael · BUF Zucker, Thompson, Norris, Dahlin, Quinn

  67. P3 10:23Shot by Dahlin, saved by Thompson4v5
  68. P3 11:38Shot by Tuch, saved by Thompson
  69. P3 11:57Shot by Tuch, saved by Thompson
  70. P3 11:58Shot by Doan, saved by Thompson
  71. P3 12:47Shot by Power, saved by Thompson
  72. P3 12:53Shot by Power, saved by Thompson
  73. P3 15:10Shot by Dahlin, saved by Thompson
  74. P3 15:35Shot by Zucker, saved by Thompson
  75. P3 15:41Shot by Thompson, saved by Thompson
  76. P3 16:04Shot by Strome, saved by Ellis
  77. P3 17:15Fehérváry: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: WSH Chychrun, Duhaime, Fehérváry, Lapierre, Frank · BUF Malenstyn, Stanley, Norris, Benson, Metsa

  78. P3 17:15Benson: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: WSH Chychrun, Duhaime, Fehérváry, Lapierre, Frank · BUF Malenstyn, Stanley, Norris, Benson, Metsa

  79. P3 18:34Shot by Strome, saved by Ellis
  80. P3 18:50Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Ellis
  81. P3 19:55Shot by Stanley, saved by Thompson
  82. P3 0:00Period end
  83. P3 0:00Final