Sat, Apr 4, 2026·Capital One Arena, Washington
Buffalo Sabres 2, Washington Capitals 6
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 66% of the time.
27%
58%
WSH winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 22:28 | 0.21 | 69.8% | +21.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 20:59 | 0.00 | 33.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:22 | 0.08 | 29.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 19:54 | 0.01 | 62.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 5 | 19:20 | 0.63 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 6 | 18:27 | 0.46 | 61.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:20 | 0.19 | 50.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 16:53 | 0.00 | 46.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 16:20 | 0.27 | 75.7% | +8.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15:48 | 0.52 | 36.8% | +8.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 15:20 | 0.42 | 50.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 15:15 | 0.02 | 48.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:32 | 0.00 | 34.3% | +12.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 13:18 | 0.02 | 63.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 12:57 | 0.11 | 46.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:27 | 0.37 | 52.8% | +12.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:15 | 0.00 | 55.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:05 | 0.25 | 75.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 0.67 | −2.3 | 5:52 | |
| – | 23 | 20 | 3 | .870 | 1.98 | −1.0 | 54:08 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 21:10 | 0.00 | 44.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 20:56 | 0.01 | 44.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:25 | 0.09 | 55.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 19:40 | 0.26 | 50.2% | +21.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 18:58 | 0.03 | 39.4% | +4.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 17:19 | 0.23 | 44.1% | +0.9 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 17:01 | 0.51 | 57.6% | +23.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 16:38 | 0.42 | 53.0% | +11.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 16:15 | 0.19 | 30.6% | +25.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:11 | 0.00 | 42.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 5 | 16:03 | 0.59 | 60.2% | +9.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:44 | 0.00 | 19.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:25 | 0.10 | 45.2% | +4.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 12:58 | 0.05 | 81.8% | +21.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:55 | 0.09 | 26.5% | +4.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:43 | 0.05 | 35.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:05 | 0.00 | 29.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:34 | 0.03 | 31.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 39 | 37 | 2 | .949 | 3.56 | +1.6 | 60:00 |