Sat, Apr 4, 2026·Capital One Arena, Washington
Buffalo Sabres 2, Washington Capitals 6
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 66% of the time.
27%
58%
WSH winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Greenway–Malenstyn–Kozak | Zucker–Tuch–Norris | McLeod–Quinn–Benson | Thompson–Krebs–Doan | Zucker–McLeod–Quinn | Greenway–Thompson–Kozak | Tuch–Krebs–Doan | Malenstyn–Norris–Benson | Stanley–Metsa | Samuelsson–Dahlin | Byram–Power | Samuelsson–Power | Dahlin–Byram | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ovechkin–Strome–Protas | 1:030.00–0.00 | 1:560.12–0.11 | 3:240.14–0.17 | 0:310.08–0.00 | 2:180.16–0.15 | 2:020.10–0.30 | 3:190.16–0.15 | 1:360.00–0.02 | 0:330.00–0.00 | ||||
| Beauvillier–Sourdif–Leonard | 1:420.03–0.00 | 3:320.04–0.05 | 0:330.00–0.03 | 0:500.00–0.14 | 2:320.01–0.14 | 1:070.00–0.00 | 2:280.05–0.04 | 1:410.02–0.10 | |||||
| Duhaime–Lapierre–Frank | 2:580.02–0.21 | 1:140.03–0.18 | 1:170.00–0.06 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 2:340.01–0.18 | 2:430.04–0.21 | 0:490.03–0.00 | 1:160.00–0.06 | ||||
| Wilson–Dubois–McMichael | 4:450.14–0.15 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 1:060.10–0.01 | 1:470.06–0.00 | 2:280.04–0.08 | 0:410.00–0.02 | 1:130.00–0.06 | ||||||
| Ovechkin–Strome–Sourdif | 1:080.08–0.01 | 1:080.08–0.01 | 0:300.25–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Wilson–McMichael–Sourdif | 0:380.05–0.41 | 0:500.05–0.41 | |||||||||||
| Roy–Hutson | 1:190.01–0.00 | 1:530.05–0.01 | 2:300.08–0.30 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:410.05–0.06 | 2:540.05–0.19 | 2:150.13–0.00 | 2:160.01–0.08 | 0:500.00–0.06 | ||||
| Fehérváry–Sandin | 1:030.00–0.00 | 2:190.04–0.04 | 2:380.14–0.01 | 1:290.11–0.16 | 3:210.01–0.00 | 2:470.15–0.04 | |||||||
| van Riemsdyk–Chychrun | 2:010.01–0.21 | 1:390.09–0.08 | 1:100.00–0.05 | 0:370.08–0.00 | 2:280.01–0.51 | 2:010.32–0.08 | 1:100.00–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.05 | |||||
| Chychrun–Fehérváry | 0:350.05–0.41 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:480.08–0.00 | 1:280.08–0.00 | 0:560.05–0.41 | 0:490.03–0.00 | |||||||
| Sandin–Hutson | 1:030.04–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:480.01–0.00 | 0:430.02–0.01 | |||||||||
| Roy–Chychrun | 0:380.00–0.08 | 0:550.00–0.08 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:420.25–0.00 | |||||||||
| van Riemsdyk–Sandin | 0:480.07–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:480.07–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| van Riemsdyk–Hutson | 1:010.00–0.03 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:190.00–0.10 | |||||||||
| Roy–Fehérváry | 0:580.00–0.02 | 1:230.00–0.06 | |||||||||||
| Chychrun–Sandin | 0:300.07–0.00 | 0:520.07–0.08 | |||||||||||
| van Riemsdyk–Roy | 0:590.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Chychrun–Hutson | 0:490.08–0.01 | 1:010.08–0.01 |
Every shift, one row per player.
WSHBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 26 | 22:28 | 0:52 | 1:47 | 7 | 3 |
 Martin FehérváryWSH | 24 | 21:10 | 0:53 | 2:21 | 0 | 6 |
 Bowen ByramBUF | 27 | 20:59 | 0:47 | 1:39 | 7 | 5 |
 Matt RoyWSH | 23 | 20:56 | 0:55 | 1:37 | 0 | 7 |
 Rasmus SandinWSH | 22 | 20:25 | 0:56 | 2:00 | 0 | 5 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 24 | 20:22 | 0:51 | 1:44 | 4 | 5 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 26 | 19:54 | 0:46 | 1:26 | 3 | 5 |
 Jakob ChychrunWSH | 22 | 19:40 | 0:54 | 1:30 | 3 | 1 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 22 | 19:20 | 0:53 | 1:35 | 5 | 1 |
 Cole HutsonWSH | 21 | 18:58 | 0:54 | 1:21 | 2 | 3 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 22 | 18:27 | 0:50 | 1:45 | 4 | 5 |
 Jason ZuckerBUF | 22 | 18:20 | 0:50 | 1:30 | 6 | 1 |
 Tom WilsonWSH | 23 | 17:19 | 0:45 | 1:24 | 2 | 5 |
 Alex OvechkinWSH | 22 | 17:01 | 0:46 | 1:53 | 5 | 1 |
 Ryan McLeodBUF | 24 | 16:53 | 0:42 | 1:17 | 4 | 4 |
 Dylan StromeWSH | 23 | 16:38 | 0:43 | 1:46 | 4 | 3 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 24 | 16:20 | 0:41 | 1:14 | 4 | 3 |
 Aliaksei ProtasWSH | 22 | 16:15 | 0:44 | 1:33 | 3 | 3 |
 Trevor van RiemsdykWSH | 22 | 16:11 | 0:44 | 1:12 | 1 | 3 |
 Connor McMichaelWSH | 23 | 16:03 | 0:42 | 1:23 | 3 | 5 |
 Josh NorrisBUF | 21 | 15:48 | 0:45 | 1:30 | 6 | 1 |
 Anthony BeauvillierWSH | 21 | 15:44 | 0:45 | 1:19 | 1 | 5 |
 Justin SourdifWSH | 21 | 15:25 | 0:44 | 1:38 | 2 | 3 |
 Zach BensonBUF | 23 | 15:20 | 0:40 | 1:31 | 2 | 3 |
 Zach MetsaBUF | 20 | 15:15 | 0:46 | 1:36 | 1 | 3 |
 Jordan GreenwayBUF | 20 | 13:32 | 0:41 | 1:19 | 2 | 5 |
 Logan StanleyBUF | 17 | 13:18 | 0:47 | 1:24 | 0 | 1 |
 Pierre-Luc DuboisWSH | 18 | 12:58 | 0:43 | 1:15 | 2 | 3 |
 Josh DoanBUF | 19 | 12:57 | 0:41 | 1:14 | 6 | 0 |
 Ryan LeonardWSH | 20 | 12:55 | 0:39 | 1:09 | 2 | 4 |
 Beck MalenstynBUF | 17 | 12:27 | 0:44 | 1:14 | 1 | 3 |
 Tyson KozakBUF | 18 | 12:15 | 0:41 | 1:11 | 2 | 4 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 17 | 12:05 | 0:43 | 1:39 | 2 | 1 |
 Brandon DuhaimeWSH | 18 | 11:43 | 0:39 | 1:02 | 3 | 3 |
 Hendrix LapierreWSH | 15 | 11:05 | 0:44 | 0:57 | 3 | 2 |
 Ethen FrankWSH | 15 | 9:34 | 0:38 | 1:02 | 3 | 2 |