Sun, Apr 5, 2026·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Florida Panthers 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 57% of the time.
35%
8%
9%
48%
PIT winsFLA wins
Florida Panthers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 1 | 24:50 | 0.05 | 58.2% | +0.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24:21 | 0.12 | 36.1% | +18.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22:43 | 0.27 | 70.5% | +0.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:59 | 0.14 | 31.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21:28 | 0.37 | 68.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21:09 | 0.59 | 72.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:38 | 0.37 | 92.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:59 | 0.24 | 83.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:51 | 0.25 | 80.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:00 | 0.20 | 88.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:58 | 0.08 | 87.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:45 | 0.12 | 51.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 12:36 | 0.01 | 37.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:19 | 0.02 | 46.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 9:45 | 0.24 | 44.0% | +18.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 9:01 | 0.05 | 37.8% | +18.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:09 | 0.11 | 76.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 5:37 | 0.17 | 30.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 23 | 18 | 5 | .783 | 2.97 | −2.0 | 60:00 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:27 | 0.12 | 78.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 18:50 | 0.38 | 73.3% | +20.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 18:48 | 0.00 | 20.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:30 | 0.07 | 26.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:27 | 0.00 | 42.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:19 | 0.14 | 17.8% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 18:16 | 0.51 | 45.0% | +17.7 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 4 | 17:34 | 0.41 | 70.7% | +31.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 17:31 | 0.00 | 20.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:17 | 0.00 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17:14 | 0.35 | 40.6% | +17.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:06 | 0.12 | 68.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14:29 | 0.19 | 36.8% | +5.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 13:37 | 0.15 | 69.9% | +20.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:45 | 0.08 | 25.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:35 | 0.41 | 12.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:18 | 0.04 | 32.8% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 6:32 | 0.00 | 46.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 29 | 2 | .935 | 3.38 | +1.4 | 60:00 |