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Ice Lab

Sun, Apr 5, 2026·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Florida Panthers 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 57% of the time.

PIT winsFLA wins

Florida Panthers

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Seth JonesD · #3011−3124:500.0558.2%+0.3
Gustav ForslingD · #420110424:210.1236.1%+18.2
Carter VerhaegheC · #231010522:430.2770.5%+0.3
Dmitry KulikovD · #70000221:590.1431.0%0.0
Sam BennettC · #90000321:280.3768.9%0.0
Matthew TkachukLW · #190000321:090.5972.8%0.0
Mackie SamoskevichRW · #11000−1120:380.3792.1%0.0
Eetu LuostarinenC · #27000−1116:590.2483.8%0.0
A.J. GreerLW · #10000−1015:510.2580.4%0.0
Donovan SebrangoD · #60000114:000.2088.1%0.0
Mike BenningD · #200000112:580.0887.3%0.0
Jesper BoqvistC · #70000−1212:450.1251.9%0.0
Tobias BjornfotD · #22000−3012:360.0137.2%0.0
Tomas NosekLW · #920000010:190.0246.2%0.0
Cole SchwindtC · #79101−239:450.2444.0%+18.2
Vinnie HinostrozaC · #24011−219:010.0537.8%+18.2
Noah GregorLW · #18000018:090.1176.3%0.0
Nolan FooteLW · #25000−125:370.1730.2%0.0
Daniil Tarasov#40L23185.7832.97−2.060:00

Pittsburgh Penguins

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Erik KarlssonD · #650000221:270.1278.8%0.0
Bryan RustRW · #17112+2318:500.3873.3%+20.0
Ryan SheaD · #5000+2018:480.0020.3%0.0
Connor DewarC · #19000+1118:300.0726.8%0.0
Parker WotherspoonD · #28000+1018:270.0042.5%0.0
Noel AcciariC · #550000118:190.1417.8%0.0
Rickard RakellRW · #67202+1318:160.5145.0%+17.7
Sidney CrosbyC · #87123+2417:340.4170.7%+31.9
Connor CliftonD · #75000+2017:310.0020.2%0.0
Samuel GirardD · #49000+1017:170.0044.6%0.0
Evgeni MalkinC · #710220217:140.3540.6%+17.7
Kris LetangD · #580000116:060.1268.7%0.0
Tommy NovakC · #180110314:290.1936.8%+5.8
Egor ChinakhovRW · #59022+2113:370.1569.9%+20.0
Anthony ManthaRW · #39000−1011:450.0825.7%0.0
Ben KindelC · #810000111:350.4112.6%0.0
Elmer SoderblomLW · #25101+1110:180.0432.8%+15.9
Justin BrazeauRW · #16000+106:320.0046.8%0.0
Arturs Silovs#37W31292.9353.38+1.460:00