Tue, Apr 7, 2026·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Calgary Flames 3, Dallas Stars 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 80% of the time.
74%
14%
DAL winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 30:00 | 0.00 | 51.3% | +26.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 29:52 | 0.00 | 59.8% | +20.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 24:04 | 0.03 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 22:40 | 0.55 | 59.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:38 | 0.19 | 53.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:50 | 0.18 | 61.0% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 18:11 | 0.12 | 50.8% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:01 | 0.00 | 30.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 17:17 | 0.18 | 33.8% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:59 | 0.08 | 53.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 15:57 | 0.43 | 65.9% | +26.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:49 | 0.21 | 38.6% | +20.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 13:48 | 0.00 | 51.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:10 | 0.00 | 9.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:16 | 0.03 | 7.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 9:12 | 0.33 | 90.5% | +46.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:58 | 0.00 | 8.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1:15 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| O | 25 | 21 | 4 | .840 | 4.35 | +0.4 | 63:39 |
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27:09 | 0.17 | 34.9% | +50.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 24:14 | 1.17 | 57.8% | +73.4 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 22:12 | 1.31 | 52.6% | +67.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 21:08 | 0.32 | 52.9% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:36 | 0.00 | 25.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:11 | 0.14 | 64.2% | +22.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:16 | 0.10 | 52.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 18:37 | 0.85 | 67.4% | +22.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:16 | 0.11 | 41.0% | +22.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:30 | 0.00 | 27.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:30 | 0.13 | 80.5% | +22.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 14:00 | 0.00 | 52.1% | +22.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:53 | 0.00 | 35.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:47 | 0.04 | 56.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:42 | 0.00 | 95.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:25 | 0.00 | 20.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:56 | 0.00 | 48.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 9:29 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 20 | 17 | 3 | .850 | 2.32 | −0.7 | 63:38 |