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Ice Lab

Thu, Apr 9, 2026·UBS Arena, Elmont

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, New York Islanders 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 92% of the time.

NYI winsTOR wins

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Jake McCabeD · #22000−1025:060.1142.2%0.0
William NylanderRW · #880000221:530.2416.9%0.0
Troy StecherD · #28000+1020:570.0150.3%0.0
Morgan RiellyD · #44101+1220:450.2253.1%+1.8
John TavaresC · #910110119:390.3918.8%+19.4
Matthew KniesLW · #23000−2018:560.1431.0%0.0
Easton CowanRW · #531010118:540.2129.8%+19.4
Simon BenoitD · #2000−2217:470.1031.7%0.0
Calle JarnkrokC · #190000116:430.0670.0%0.0
Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #950110115:520.0911.0%+19.4
Philippe MyersD · #51000−1015:370.012.1%0.0
Steven LorentzC · #18101+1215:150.1549.6%+11.6
Jacob QuillanC · #260000013:240.0260.2%0.0
Luke HaymesC · #43011+1112:470.1449.6%+1.8
Max DomiC · #11000−2312:180.3627.6%0.0
Nick RobertsonLW · #890000011:190.0749.2%0.0
Matias MaccelliLW · #63011−1011:170.0615.4%+1.8
Michael PezzettaLW · #61000006:240.0028.9%0.0
Artur Akhtyamov#70L44395.8865.80+0.856:23

New York Islanders

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Matthew SchaeferD · #48101+1324:500.2481.3%+24.7
Mathew BarzalC · #130110421:360.8140.4%+13.1
Ryan PulockD · #60000021:160.0086.9%0.0
Tony DeAngeloD · #77022+2420:330.2564.0%+37.7
Bo HorvatC · #14011+1219:500.3461.2%+11.9
Brayden SchennC · #101010318:560.6940.3%+11.9
Adam PelechD · #3011+1418:520.1661.9%+11.8
Anders LeeLW · #270000217:080.1860.5%0.0
Simon HolmstromRW · #920000316:240.4964.7%0.0
Emil HeinemanLW · #51101+1315:550.3184.2%+13.1
Calum RitchieC · #641120415:310.7945.6%+14.8
Jean-Gabriel PageauC · #441010214:280.6090.5%+11.8
Carson SoucyD · #4000−1014:020.0037.6%0.0
Scott MayfieldD · #24000−1113:350.0356.4%0.0
Maxim ShabanovRW · #490110112:510.2687.8%+11.8
Casey CizikasC · #53000+1312:190.2372.3%0.0
Ondrej PalatLW · #81011+1010:410.0069.2%+24.7
Marc GatcombC · #160000510:200.7472.8%0.0
Ilya Sorokin#30W16133.8132.37−0.659:32