Thu, Apr 9, 2026·UBS Arena, Elmont
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, New York Islanders 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 92% of the time.
89%
NYI winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
NYI forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Lorentz–Robertson–Haymes | Tavares–Nylander–Cowan | Jarnkrok–Pezzetta–Quillan | Domi–Maccelli–Knies | Domi–Nylander–Maccelli | Tavares–Jarnkrok–Nylander | Tavares–Knies–Cowan | Domi–Knies–Cowan | Nylander–Maccelli–Quillan | Tavares–Nylander–Knies | McCabe–Benoit | Rielly–Stecher | Ekman-Larsson–Myers | Rielly–Myers | Ekman-Larsson–Rielly | Ekman-Larsson–McCabe | Rielly–McCabe | Ekman-Larsson–Stecher | Stecher–Benoit | Myers–Stecher | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee–Horvat–Holmstrom | 2:070.00–0.08 | 3:170.51–0.06 | 0:430.05–0.00 | 0:500.21–0.06 | 1:010.23–0.15 | 2:450.07–0.17 | 1:400.20–0.27 | 1:040.23–0.00 | 1:200.25–0.00 | 0:490.21–0.00 | 0:310.07–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.08 | |||||||
| Schenn–Barzal–Ritchie | 0:410.01–0.07 | 1:290.10–0.01 | 2:170.02–0.00 | 0:490.02–0.00 | 2:270.09–0.00 | 2:480.03–0.31 | 1:460.02–0.02 | 0:440.05–0.02 | ||||||||||||
| Pageau–Heineman–Shabanov | 2:190.19–0.07 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:450.66–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.01 | 0:400.03–0.00 | 1:330.17–0.04 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 3:140.15–0.05 | 1:260.00–0.03 | 1:300.39–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 1:010.51–0.04 | |||||||
| Cizikas–Palat–Gatcomb | 1:090.06–0.00 | 1:510.67–0.09 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:310.11–0.00 | 0:530.08–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.02 | 0:310.08–0.00 | 2:050.07–0.17 | 1:510.69–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.09 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Pelech–DeAngelo | 1:580.01–0.12 | 0:310.01–0.01 | 2:030.02–0.00 | 1:370.60–0.00 | 0:470.12–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.02 | 1:130.12–0.24 | 0:490.05–0.02 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 3:480.15–0.22 | 2:430.08–0.22 | 1:200.02–0.02 | 0:350.00–0.02 | 1:140.12–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:370.05–0.02 | 0:380.54–0.00 | |||
| Pulock–Schaefer | 4:201.04–0.00 | 0:380.03–0.00 | 1:060.08–0.00 | 2:130.00–0.03 | 1:460.26–0.00 | 0:410.05–0.04 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 3:500.15–0.00 | 2:440.07–0.03 | 3:300.94–0.00 | 0:540.25–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:390.07–0.00 | 0:400.05–0.04 | ||||||
| Mayfield–Soucy | 4:210.19–0.12 | 2:020.01–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.06 | 1:460.00–0.00 | 2:150.01–0.26 | 2:100.19–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:160.00–0.10 | ||||||||||||
| DeAngelo–Schaefer | 0:460.08–0.12 | 0:330.18–0.06 | 1:220.12–0.14 | 0:380.14–0.07 | ||||||||||||||||
| Pelech–Pulock | 0:310.00–0.09 | 0:370.00–0.08 | 0:310.00–0.09 | |||||||||||||||||
| Soucy–Schaefer | 0:440.00–0.20 |
Every shift, one row per player.
NYITORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Jake McCabeTOR | 31 | 25:06 | 0:49 | 1:42 | 0 | 10 |
 Matthew SchaeferNYI | 26 | 24:50 | 0:57 | 1:53 | 6 | 2 |
 William NylanderTOR | 23 | 21:53 | 0:57 | 1:37 | 4 | 4 |
 Mathew BarzalNYI | 22 | 21:36 | 0:59 | 1:53 | 7 | 3 |
 Ryan PulockNYI | 26 | 21:16 | 0:49 | 1:38 | 4 | 3 |
 Troy StecherTOR | 28 | 20:57 | 0:45 | 1:43 | 0 | 7 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 28 | 20:45 | 0:44 | 1:29 | 3 | 5 |
 Tony DeAngeloNYI | 26 | 20:33 | 0:47 | 1:26 | 4 | 1 |
 Bo HorvatNYI | 24 | 19:50 | 0:50 | 1:31 | 10 | 0 |
 John TavaresTOR | 20 | 19:39 | 0:59 | 1:53 | 3 | 5 |
 Brayden SchennNYI | 21 | 18:56 | 0:54 | 1:53 | 7 | 3 |
 Matthew KniesTOR | 22 | 18:56 | 0:52 | 1:53 | 3 | 4 |
 Easton CowanTOR | 21 | 18:54 | 0:54 | 1:50 | 2 | 5 |
 Adam PelechNYI | 25 | 18:52 | 0:45 | 1:21 | 3 | 4 |
 Simon BenoitTOR | 24 | 17:47 | 0:44 | 1:20 | 0 | 6 |
 Anders LeeNYI | 22 | 17:08 | 0:47 | 1:30 | 6 | 0 |
 Calle JarnkrokTOR | 21 | 16:43 | 0:48 | 1:28 | 0 | 9 |
 Simon HolmstromNYI | 20 | 16:24 | 0:49 | 1:21 | 6 | 1 |
 Emil HeinemanNYI | 17 | 15:55 | 0:56 | 1:41 | 4 | 1 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR | 24 | 15:52 | 0:40 | 1:21 | 3 | 6 |
 Philippe MyersTOR | 22 | 15:37 | 0:43 | 1:06 | 1 | 2 |
 Calum RitchieNYI | 18 | 15:31 | 0:52 | 1:53 | 7 | 2 |
 Steven LorentzTOR | 23 | 15:15 | 0:40 | 1:38 | 1 | 6 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI | 20 | 14:28 | 0:43 | 1:21 | 4 | 5 |
 Carson SoucyNYI | 19 | 14:02 | 0:44 | 1:14 | 2 | 0 |
 Scott MayfieldNYI | 19 | 13:35 | 0:43 | 1:18 | 2 | 0 |
 Jacob QuillanTOR | 16 | 13:24 | 0:50 | 1:13 | 1 | 4 |
 Maxim ShabanovNYI | 16 | 12:51 | 0:48 | 1:14 | 4 | 2 |
 Luke HaymesTOR | 17 | 12:47 | 0:45 | 1:22 | 1 | 0 |
 Casey CizikasNYI | 19 | 12:19 | 0:39 | 1:11 | 1 | 0 |
 Max DomiTOR | 19 | 12:18 | 0:39 | 1:09 | 4 | 5 |
 Nick RobertsonTOR | 16 | 11:19 | 0:42 | 1:19 | 1 | 0 |
 Matias MaccelliTOR | 15 | 11:17 | 0:45 | 1:05 | 3 | 3 |
 Ondrej PalatNYI | 19 | 10:41 | 0:34 | 0:53 | 1 | 0 |
 Marc GatcombNYI | 17 | 10:20 | 0:36 | 1:13 | 1 | 0 |
 Michael PezzettaTOR | 12 | 6:24 | 0:32 | 0:58 | 0 | 3 |