Thu, Apr 9, 2026·Ball Arena, Denver
Calgary Flames 1, Colorado Avalanche 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 91% of the time.
87%
COL winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:31 | 0.04 | 30.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:19 | 0.03 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:31 | 0.05 | 28.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:27 | 0.01 | 25.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19:15 | 0.64 | 29.2% | +6.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:11 | 0.13 | 19.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:48 | 0.08 | 30.5% | +6.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:31 | 0.05 | 31.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:57 | 0.11 | 45.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:16 | 0.19 | 35.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:39 | 0.11 | 33.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:18 | 0.23 | 60.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 13:15 | 0.13 | 19.0% | +6.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:50 | 0.22 | 60.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:07 | 0.04 | 24.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:59 | 0.03 | 48.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:56 | 0.17 | 58.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:25 | 0.03 | 29.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 40 | 38 | 2 | .950 | 4.13 | +2.1 | 57:38 |
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:26 | 0.03 | 71.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 6 | 22:23 | 1.43 | 67.3% | +36.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:48 | 0.02 | 72.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:32 | 0.12 | 69.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 4 | 19:59 | 0.51 | 56.8% | +36.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 19:45 | 0.08 | 71.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:49 | 0.24 | 62.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:34 | 0.04 | 47.5% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:51 | 0.40 | 74.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 16:01 | 0.75 | 74.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:00 | 0.30 | 53.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:37 | 0.02 | 51.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 14:21 | 0.51 | 82.3% | +19.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:40 | 0.31 | 59.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:04 | 0.03 | 51.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:19 | 0.26 | 60.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:58 | 0.09 | 69.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8:53 | 0.37 | 63.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 28 | 1 | .966 | 2.29 | +1.3 | 60:00 |