Sat, Apr 11, 2026·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Washington Capitals 6, Pittsburgh Penguins 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 83% of the time.
11%
76%
PIT winsWSH wins
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 23:09 | 0.01 | 70.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 20:01 | 0.05 | 43.7% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 20:00 | 0.00 | 71.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:53 | 0.04 | 35.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:37 | 0.00 | 64.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 19:02 | 0.27 | 49.5% | +30.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:56 | 0.12 | 58.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:54 | 0.00 | 86.6% | +16.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 16:44 | 0.46 | 51.7% | +17.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 16:24 | 0.45 | 58.5% | +32.6 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16:06 | 0.23 | 53.8% | +46.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:35 | 0.03 | 79.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:02 | 0.00 | 77.4% | +17.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 14:59 | 1.11 | 52.2% | +1.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:42 | 0.05 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 14:00 | 1.00 | 74.3% | +33.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:54 | 0.18 | 83.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7:02 | 0.00 | 71.5% | +17.5 |
| W | 11 | 8 | 3 | .727 | 2.01 | −1.0 | 60:00 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 0 | 25:12 | 0.00 | 51.7% | +32.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 24:10 | 0.00 | 39.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 20:43 | 0.00 | 60.2% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:07 | 0.09 | 38.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:49 | 0.00 | 38.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:57 | 0.17 | 28.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:08 | 0.08 | 30.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:42 | 0.00 | 5.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:30 | 0.03 | 4.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:25 | 0.09 | 36.9% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:22 | 0.32 | 41.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:01 | 0.24 | 36.4% | +16.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:51 | 0.09 | 35.1% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:49 | 0.00 | 35.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 14:32 | 0.06 | 44.8% | +16.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 13:19 | 0.63 | 43.6% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:27 | 0.22 | 39.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:10 | 0.00 | 33.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 31 | 26 | 5 | .839 | 3.36 | −1.6 | 59:06 |