Wed, Apr 15, 2026·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Dallas Stars 4, Buffalo Sabres 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 56% of the time.
47%
9%
10%
34%
BUF winsDAL wins
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Thomas HarleyD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 22:45 | 0.08 | 71.5% | 0.0 |
 Esa LindellD · #23 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22:14 | 0.19 | 61.7% | +37.0 |
 Tyler MyersD · #57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21:30 | 0.14 | 53.8% | 0.0 |
 Lian BichselD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:37 | 0.05 | 49.2% | 0.0 |
 Nils LundkvistD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:26 | 0.01 | 21.1% | 0.0 |
 Mikko RantanenRW · #96 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:33 | 0.06 | 34.5% | 0.0 |
 Wyatt JohnstonC · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:11 | 0.07 | 30.5% | 0.0 |
 Jason RobertsonLW · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:26 | 0.09 | 38.6% | 0.0 |
 Matt DucheneC · #95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:26 | 0.00 | 35.2% | 0.0 |
 Justin HryckowianC · #49 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 17:18 | 0.27 | 73.3% | +50.3 |
 Mavrik BourqueC · #22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:06 | 0.18 | 55.9% | +14.7 |
 Sam SteelC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:43 | 0.00 | 34.5% | 0.0 |
 Ilya LyubushkinD · #46 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:39 | 0.03 | 85.7% | +14.7 |
 Jamie BennLW · #14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:46 | 0.00 | 54.5% | +22.3 |
 Oskar BäckC · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:36 | 0.12 | 95.5% | 0.0 |
 Adam ErneLW · #73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:23 | 0.15 | 94.7% | 0.0 |
 Radek FaksaC · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:09 | 0.63 | 95.0% | 0.0 |
 Michael BuntingLW · #58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 12:36 | 0.28 | 62.6% | 0.0 |
 Jake Oettinger#29 | W | 24 | 21 | 3 | .875 | 2.77 | −0.2 | 65:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Zach BensonLW · #6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 24:22 | 0.53 | 36.7% | +37.4 |
 Owen PowerD · #25 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 22:17 | 0.01 | 40.7% | +41.0 |
 Alex TuchRW · #89 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:36 | 0.06 | 34.4% | +25.4 |
 Logan StanleyD · #64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:16 | 0.23 | 74.4% | 0.0 |
 Bowen ByramD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:35 | 0.06 | 8.9% | 0.0 |
 Jack QuinnRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 19:29 | 0.87 | 51.4% | 0.0 |
 Peyton KrebsC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:00 | 0.14 | 58.6% | 0.0 |
 Tanner PearsonLW · #70 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:04 | 0.20 | 47.7% | +25.4 |
 Conor TimminsD · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16:58 | 0.06 | 59.6% | 0.0 |
 Josh NorrisC · #9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:55 | 0.08 | 11.7% | +15.6 |
 Jordan GreenwayLW · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:03 | 0.01 | 42.7% | 0.0 |
 Josh DoanRW · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:57 | 0.26 | 15.5% | 0.0 |
 Michael KesselringD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 15:03 | 0.04 | 32.1% | 0.0 |
 Beck MalenstynLW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:59 | 0.07 | 67.8% | 0.0 |
 Zach MetsaD · #73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:43 | 0.00 | 37.5% | 0.0 |
 Tyson KozakC · #48 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:34 | 0.01 | 8.3% | +21.8 |
 Luke SchennD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:41 | 0.01 | 18.2% | 0.0 |
 Josh DunneC · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:52 | 0.14 | 64.2% | 0.0 |
 Colten Ellis#92 | O | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 2.36 | −0.6 | 65:00 |