Wed, Apr 15, 2026·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Dallas Stars 4, Buffalo Sabres 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 56% of the time.
47%
9%
10%
34%
BUF winsDAL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against DAL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Duchene–Robertson–Bourque | Rantanen–Steel–Johnston | Faksa–Erne–Bäck | Benn–Bunting–Hryckowian | Erne–Bunting–Steel | Myers–Bichsel | Lundkvist–Harley | Lindell–Lyubushkin | Lindell–Lundkvist | Lyubushkin–Harley | Lundkvist–Bichsel | Myers–Harley | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pearson–Krebs–Quinn | 3:550.17–0.12 | 3:250.09–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.01 | 1:420.20–0.06 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 3:450.39–0.12 | 2:350.00–0.01 | 4:060.00–0.39 | 0:300.04–0.00 | |||
| Tuch–Greenway–Kozak | 1:330.01–0.07 | 1:310.00–0.07 | 4:230.04–0.27 | 0:560.01–0.00 | 2:140.01–0.24 | 2:210.01–0.00 | 1:320.03–0.03 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 1:240.00–0.07 | |||
| Norris–Doan–Benson | 1:570.04–0.11 | 1:560.04–0.19 | 1:340.00–0.63 | 1:480.00–0.05 | 2:080.00–0.13 | 4:060.09–0.12 | 1:100.05–0.63 | 1:100.00–0.11 | ||||
| Malenstyn–Dunne–Benson | 1:120.10–0.00 | 0:530.31–0.00 | 1:220.00–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.01 | 2:350.02–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:530.31–0.00 | |||||
| Greenway–Malenstyn–Dunne | 1:090.03–0.02 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:460.07–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:490.03–0.00 | |||||||
| Malenstyn–Dunne–Kozak | 1:140.00–0.21 | 0:400.00–0.05 | 0:320.00–0.15 | |||||||||
| Pearson–Norris–Doan | 0:330.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Krebs–Quinn–Benson | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Schenn–Power | 1:360.00–0.11 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 1:460.00–0.01 | 0:330.01–0.00 | 1:240.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.01 | 1:290.00–0.27 | 1:100.00–0.11 | ||||
| Timmins–Byram | 1:080.07–0.00 | 1:450.00–0.07 | 1:200.02–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.15 | 2:310.01–0.07 | 1:530.09–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.15 | |||||
| Kesselring–Power | 1:070.06–0.07 | 1:200.04–0.06 | 1:590.06–0.01 | 1:250.00–0.07 | ||||||||
| Stanley–Timmins | 1:080.03–0.02 | 1:540.31–0.00 | 0:300.20–0.05 | 1:000.20–0.05 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 1:020.31–0.00 | 0:490.03–0.00 | |||||
| Stanley–Kesselring | 0:470.06–0.00 | 1:520.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 2:400.02–0.00 | 1:060.04–0.00 | |||||||
| Stanley–Metsa | 0:500.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.13 | 0:330.00–0.03 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:570.07–0.13 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.03 | 0:560.00–0.00 | ||||
| Schenn–Stanley | 1:140.15–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.05 | 1:060.14–0.00 | 0:500.01–0.01 | 0:390.01–0.00 | |||||||
| Byram–Metsa | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:170.00–0.06 | 0:300.00–0.05 | 0:590.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Power–Metsa | 0:390.03–0.12 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:530.11–0.00 | 1:060.03–0.12 | ||||||||
| Kesselring–Metsa | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:300.00–0.06 | 0:460.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Timmins–Power | 1:280.09–0.00 | 0:360.05–0.00 | 0:560.04–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Kesselring–Byram | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Timmins–Kesselring | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:460.01–0.24 | 1:090.01–0.24 | 0:330.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Schenn–Byram | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:250.00–0.63 | ||||||||||
| Stanley–Power | 0:510.04–0.00 | 1:060.04–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFDALFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Zach BensonBUF | 30 | 24:22 | 0:49 | 1:32 | 6 | 3 |
 Thomas HarleyDAL | 23 | 22:45 | 0:59 | 1:58 | 3 | 3 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 26 | 22:17 | 0:51 | 1:44 | 2 | 5 |
 Esa LindellDAL | 22 | 22:14 | 1:01 | 2:02 | 2 | 4 |
 Tyler MyersDAL | 23 | 21:30 | 0:56 | 1:39 | 2 | 3 |
 Lian BichselDAL | 23 | 20:37 | 0:54 | 1:45 | 1 | 2 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 23 | 20:36 | 0:54 | 1:57 | 6 | 5 |
 Nils LundkvistDAL | 23 | 20:26 | 0:53 | 1:41 | 1 | 4 |
 Logan StanleyBUF | 26 | 20:16 | 0:47 | 1:19 | 4 | 4 |
 Bowen ByramBUF | 26 | 19:35 | 0:45 | 1:17 | 4 | 2 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 23 | 19:29 | 0:51 | 1:52 | 4 | 0 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 26 | 19:00 | 0:44 | 1:13 | 2 | 0 |
 Mikko RantanenDAL | 18 | 18:33 | 1:02 | 1:46 | 3 | 1 |
 Wyatt JohnstonDAL | 19 | 18:11 | 0:57 | 1:38 | 3 | 1 |
 Jason RobertsonDAL | 19 | 17:26 | 0:55 | 1:45 | 4 | 1 |
 Matt DucheneDAL | 19 | 17:26 | 0:55 | 1:38 | 4 | 2 |
 Justin HryckowianDAL | 20 | 17:18 | 0:52 | 1:52 | 1 | 4 |
 Mavrik BourqueDAL | 20 | 17:06 | 0:51 | 1:15 | 2 | 1 |
 Tanner PearsonBUF | 22 | 17:04 | 0:47 | 1:22 | 1 | 2 |
 Conor TimminsBUF | 24 | 16:58 | 0:42 | 1:29 | 3 | 2 |
 Josh NorrisBUF | 20 | 16:55 | 0:51 | 1:37 | 5 | 3 |
 Jordan GreenwayBUF | 21 | 16:03 | 0:46 | 1:29 | 4 | 5 |
 Josh DoanBUF | 20 | 15:57 | 0:48 | 1:36 | 4 | 3 |
 Sam SteelDAL | 18 | 15:43 | 0:52 | 1:28 | 0 | 2 |
 Ilya LyubushkinDAL | 19 | 15:39 | 0:49 | 1:27 | 2 | 4 |
 Michael KesselringBUF | 18 | 15:03 | 0:50 | 1:26 | 1 | 2 |
 Beck MalenstynBUF | 18 | 14:59 | 0:50 | 1:16 | 4 | 2 |
 Zach MetsaBUF | 17 | 14:43 | 0:52 | 1:20 | 2 | 2 |
 Jamie BennDAL | 18 | 13:46 | 0:46 | 1:13 | 1 | 3 |
 Oskar BäckDAL | 17 | 13:36 | 0:48 | 1:08 | 2 | 3 |
 Tyson KozakBUF | 19 | 13:34 | 0:43 | 1:26 | 3 | 4 |
 Adam ErneDAL | 19 | 13:23 | 0:42 | 1:23 | 3 | 1 |
 Radek FaksaDAL | 19 | 13:09 | 0:42 | 1:07 | 1 | 4 |
 Luke SchennBUF | 18 | 12:41 | 0:42 | 1:30 | 2 | 2 |
 Michael BuntingDAL | 16 | 12:36 | 0:47 | 1:00 | 0 | 3 |
 Josh DunneBUF | 15 | 11:52 | 0:47 | 1:18 | 4 | 1 |