Sat, Oct 3, 2026·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Montréal Canadiens 5, Pittsburgh Penguins 6 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 63% of the time.
55%
8%
29%
PIT winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 29:06 | 0.11 | 48.6% | +65.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 26:24 | 0.11 | 58.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 23:04 | 0.13 | 63.4% | +1.9 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 22:50 | 0.29 | 43.8% | +18.8 | |
| 1 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 4 | 22:43 | 0.61 | 75.4% | +69.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 18:12 | 0.04 | 87.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 16:09 | 0.00 | 52.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 16:03 | 0.21 | 53.2% | +53.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:43 | 0.22 | 91.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 14:57 | 0.45 | 35.2% | +8.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:36 | 0.32 | 75.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:43 | 0.00 | 22.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:10 | 0.28 | 83.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 11:40 | 0.01 | 8.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:31 | 0.00 | 75.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:24 | 0.01 | 23.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:14 | 0.16 | 21.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:32 | 0.00 | 92.1% | 0.0 |
| O | 30 | 24 | 6 | .800 | 3.10 | −2.9 | 59:04 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −3 | 3 | 21:11 | 0.47 | 49.6% | +13.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:32 | 0.09 | 59.5% | +20.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:53 | 0.49 | 62.2% | +13.7 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 1 | 19:41 | 0.16 | 36.1% | +69.7 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 19:38 | 0.10 | 49.7% | +22.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 19:30 | 0.09 | 23.0% | +63.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:26 | 0.15 | 63.5% | +20.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:08 | 0.01 | 28.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:59 | 0.16 | 37.4% | +6.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 1 | 17:39 | 0.00 | 53.4% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:49 | 0.00 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 14:42 | 0.58 | 39.6% | +57.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −3 | 5 | 14:18 | 0.52 | 31.0% | +2.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:54 | 0.65 | 60.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:35 | 0.09 | 61.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 11:43 | 0.08 | 16.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 11:22 | 0.00 | 15.1% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:39 | 0.08 | 91.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 25 | 20 | 5 | .800 | 2.94 | −2.1 | 61:33 |