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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 3, 2026·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Montréal Canadiens 5, Pittsburgh Penguins 6 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 63% of the time.

PIT winsMTL wins

Montréal Canadiens

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Lane HutsonD · #48033+1329:060.1148.6%+65.7
Mike MathesonD · #8000−2226:240.1158.8%0.0
Noah DobsonD · #53011−1123:040.1363.4%+1.9
Cole CaufieldRW · #13202+3322:500.2943.8%+18.8
Nick SuzukiC · #14134+4422:430.6175.4%+69.5
Juraj SlafkovskýLW · #20000+2118:120.0487.1%0.0
Jayden StrubleD · #47000+2016:090.0052.7%0.0
Ivan DemidovRW · #93112+1316:030.2153.2%+53.3
Alex NewhookC · #15000−1215:430.2291.5%0.0
Chris KreiderLW · #22112+1114:570.4535.2%+8.3
Jake EvansC · #710000114:360.3275.5%0.0
Arber XhekajD · #72000+1013:430.0022.4%0.0
Josh AndersonRW · #170000312:100.2883.9%0.0
Kirby DachC · #77000−2011:400.018.8%0.0
Zachary BolducRW · #760000011:310.0075.9%0.0
Phillip DanaultC · #240000011:240.0123.3%0.0
Alexandre TexierLW · #85000−119:140.1621.0%0.0
Alexandre CarrierD · #45000008:320.0092.1%0.0
Jakub Dobes#75O30246.8003.10−2.959:04

Pittsburgh Penguins

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Samuel GirardD · #49101−3321:110.4749.6%+13.7
Declan CarlileD · #72101+1320:320.0959.5%+20.4
Sidney CrosbyC · #87011+1219:530.4962.2%+13.7
Evgeni MalkinC · #71123+2119:410.1636.1%+69.7
Erik KarlssonD · #65022+2019:380.1049.7%+22.4
Kris LetangD · #58022+1319:300.0923.0%+63.4
Rickard RakellRW · #67011+1218:260.1563.5%+20.4
Trevor van RiemsdykD · #57000−1118:080.0128.2%0.0
Egor ChinakhovRW · #590110217:590.1637.4%+6.2
Kaedan KorczakD · #6011−3117:390.0053.4%+13.7
Blake LizotteC · #46000−1014:490.0045.7%0.0
Tommy NovakC · #18213+2314:420.5839.6%+57.9
Ben KindelC · #81101−3514:180.5231.0%+2.0
Connor DewarC · #19000−2113:540.6560.2%0.0
Nick RobertsonLW · #14000+1113:350.0961.0%0.0
Andrei KuzmenkoLW · #62000−2211:430.0816.7%0.0
Hendrix LapierreC · #22011−2011:220.0015.1%+13.7
Filip HallanderC · #11000009:390.0891.6%0.0
Arturs Silovs#37W25205.8002.94−2.161:33