Sat, Oct 3, 2026·Ball Arena, Denver
St. Louis Blues 1, Colorado Avalanche 6
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 77% of the time.
70%
16%
COL winsSTL wins
St. Louis Blues
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:24 | 0.00 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 20:45 | 0.16 | 33.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 3 | 20:16 | 0.01 | 24.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:43 | 0.09 | 22.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:36 | 0.04 | 47.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:30 | 0.15 | 42.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:14 | 0.00 | 12.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:43 | 0.14 | 48.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 15:35 | 0.19 | 41.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:19 | 0.09 | 55.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:57 | 0.14 | 45.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:51 | 0.03 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 14:48 | 0.30 | 32.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 14:26 | 0.01 | 30.2% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:43 | 0.13 | 28.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:16 | 0.00 | 7.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:37 | 0.00 | 17.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 12:17 | 0.25 | 39.2% | +0.1 |
| L | 36 | 30 | 6 | .833 | 3.40 | −2.6 | 60:00 |
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 20:04 | 0.18 | 85.7% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:56 | 0.28 | 46.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 19:26 | 0.30 | 62.7% | +15.4 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 4 | 19:21 | 0.42 | 76.5% | +25.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:55 | 0.01 | 81.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 18:27 | 0.34 | 52.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 4 | 18:16 | 0.58 | 73.9% | +25.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:48 | 0.00 | 40.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 2 | 16:36 | 0.05 | 72.5% | +8.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:11 | 0.09 | 48.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 1 | 15:37 | 0.15 | 61.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 15:31 | 0.06 | 84.4% | +8.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:05 | 0.37 | 82.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:35 | 0.00 | 56.8% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 14:14 | 0.18 | 48.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:10 | 0.08 | 66.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 12:53 | 0.29 | 64.1% | +8.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:55 | 0.03 | 35.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 26 | 25 | 1 | .962 | 1.74 | +0.7 | 60:00 |