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Ice Lab

Mon, Oct 5, 2026·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa

Philadelphia Flyers 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Away

Philadelphia Flyers

1

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 95% of the time.

TBL winsPHI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 5:19Shot by Konecny, saved by Vasilevskiy
  3. P1 5:35Tippett: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Carlson, Point, Cirelli, Goncalves, Moser · PHI Tippett, Benoit, Zegras, Drysdale, Barkey

  4. P1 6:40Shot by Guentzel, saved by Vladar5v4
  5. P1 9:14Shot by Michkov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  6. P1 10:48Shot by Hagel, saved by Vladar
  7. P1 12:06Zegras: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Carlson, Kucherov, Cirelli, Goncalves, Moser · PHI Seeler, Tippett, Zegras, Jiricek, Barkey

  8. P1 12:25Shot by Guentzel, saved by Vladar5v4
  9. P1 13:58Shot by Goncalves, saved by Vladar5v4
  10. P1 14:51Shot by Guentzel, saved by Vladar
  11. P1 15:31Shot by Foerster, saved by Vasilevskiy
  12. P1 16:05Goal by Point (Carlson, Kucherov)+19 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Carlson, Kucherov, Point, Goncalves, Moser · PHI Sanheim, Zegras, York, Foerster, Martone

  13. P1 16:56Shot by Moser, saved by Vladar
  14. P1 19:18Shot by Hagel, saved by Vladar
  15. P1 19:19Shot by Hagel, saved by Vladar
  16. P1 19:22Shot by Cirelli, saved by Vladar
  17. P1 0:00Period end
  18. P2 0:00Period start
  19. P2 0:17Goal by Holmberg (Mikheyev, Girgensons)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Girgensons, Cernak, Holmberg, Mikheyev · PHI Sanheim, Cates, York, Foerster, Martone

  20. P2 2:17Shot by Sanheim, saved by Vasilevskiy
  21. P2 2:35Shot by Point, saved by Vladar
  22. P2 2:47Shot by Sanheim, saved by Vasilevskiy
  23. P2 3:48Shot by Kucherov, saved by Vladar
  24. P2 4:05Shot by Couturier, saved by Vasilevskiy
  25. P2 5:13Shot by Guentzel, saved by Vladar
  26. P2 7:22Goal by Foerster (Seeler, Couturier)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Girgensons, D'Astous, Holmberg, Mikheyev, Crozier · PHI Seeler, Couturier, Foerster, Jiricek, Martone

  27. P2 7:36Shot by Grundstrom, saved by Vasilevskiy
  28. P2 8:44Shot by Moser, saved by Vladar
  29. P2 9:37Shot by Hagel, saved by Vladar
  30. P2 9:57D'Astous: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Girgensons, D'Astous, Holmberg, Mikheyev, Crozier · PHI Seeler, Cates, Foerster, Jiricek, Martone

  31. P2 13:08Shot by Holmberg, saved by Vladar
  32. P2 14:13Shot by Carlson, saved by Vladar
  33. P2 15:04Shot by Viel, saved by Vladar
  34. P2 15:34Shot by D'Astous, saved by Vladar
  35. P2 17:27Shot by Moser, saved by Vladar
  36. P2 18:27Cirelli: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Guentzel, Cirelli, Hagel, Crozier · PHI Couturier, Acciari, Grundstrom, York, Jiricek

  37. P2 18:35Shot by Foerster, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  38. P2 18:40Shot by Konecny, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  39. P2 19:45Shot by Jiricek, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  40. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  41. P3 0:00Period start
  42. P3 0:28Shot by Hagel, saved by Vladar
  43. P3 0:44Shot by Goncalves, saved by Vladar
  44. P3 2:18Shot by Geekie, saved by Vladar
  45. P3 2:20Benoit: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Cernak, Viel, Holmberg, Geekie · PHI Tippett, Benoit, Zegras, Drysdale, Barkey

  46. P3 2:20Viel: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Cernak, Viel, Holmberg, Geekie · PHI Tippett, Benoit, Zegras, Drysdale, Barkey

  47. P3 3:10Michkov: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Guentzel, Cirelli, Hagel, Crozier · PHI Dvorak, Konecny, York, Jiricek, Michkov

  48. P3 4:48Shot by Hagel, saved by Vladar5v4
  49. P3 5:16Shot by Crozier, saved by Vladar
  50. P3 5:18Shot by Holmberg, saved by Vladar
  51. P3 5:48Shot by Crozier, saved by Vladar
  52. P3 6:36Shot by Hedman, saved by Vladar
  53. P3 6:54Shot by Geekie, saved by Vladar
  54. P3 7:16Shot by Point, saved by Vladar
  55. P3 7:49Shot by Guentzel, saved by Vladar
  56. P3 8:23Shot by York, saved by Vasilevskiy
  57. P3 10:10Shot by Dvorak, saved by Vasilevskiy
  58. P3 12:00Shot by Cernak, saved by Vladar
  59. P3 12:12Shot by York, saved by Vasilevskiy
  60. P3 13:33Hagel: Elbowing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Girgensons, Cernak, Holmberg, Mikheyev · PHI Sanheim, Konecny, Tippett, Zegras, York, Michkov

  61. P3 17:00Goal by Mikheyev (Holmberg)+7 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Girgensons, Cernak, Holmberg, Mikheyev · PHI Couturier, Konecny, York, Foerster, Jiricek

  62. P3 17:15Shot by Hagel, saved by Vladar
  63. P3 19:25Shot by Foerster, saved by Vasilevskiy5v6
  64. P3 19:53Goal by Hagel (Kucherov)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel, Moser · PHI Konecny, Zegras, Drysdale, Foerster, Michkov, Martone

  65. P3 0:00Period end
  66. P3 0:00Final