Mon, Oct 5, 2026·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa
Philadelphia Flyers 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 95% of the time.
92%
TBL winsPHI wins
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Travis SanheimD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 25:04 | 0.05 | 18.9% | 0.0 |
 Cam YorkD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 23:31 | 0.11 | 21.9% | 0.0 |
 Nick SeelerD · #24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:36 | 0.00 | 36.8% | +13.4 |
 Travis KonecnyRW · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:05 | 0.15 | 21.0% | 0.0 |
 Tyson FoersterRW · #71 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −3 | 4 | 18:55 | 0.54 | 29.6% | +13.4 |
 Trevor ZegrasC · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:19 | 0.22 | 23.5% | 0.0 |
 Jamie DrysdaleD · #9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:10 | 0.00 | 4.2% | 0.0 |
 David JiricekD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:42 | 0.11 | 64.1% | 0.0 |
 Matvei MichkovRW · #39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:40 | 0.17 | 18.4% | 0.0 |
 Sean CouturierC · #14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:35 | 0.05 | 33.1% | +13.4 |
 Porter MartoneRW · #94 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:36 | 0.01 | 30.6% | 0.0 |
 Christian DvorakC · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:24 | 0.13 | 22.4% | 0.0 |
 Owen TippettRW · #74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:58 | 0.00 | 36.3% | 0.0 |
 Noel AcciariC · #52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:39 | 0.09 | 26.8% | 0.0 |
 Denver BarkeyC · #86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:06 | 0.02 | 34.4% | 0.0 |
 Simon BenoitD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:52 | 0.00 | 18.7% | 0.0 |
 Noah CatesLW · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:12 | 0.00 | 33.1% | 0.0 |
 Carl GrundstromRW · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:12 | 0.07 | 34.7% | 0.0 |
 Dan Vladar#80 | L | 35 | 32 | 3 | .914 | 4.24 | +1.2 | 57:24 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 1 | 22:15 | 0.02 | 86.6% | 0.0 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 21:59 | 0.07 | 83.3% | +18.6 |
 Jake GuentzelC · #59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21:20 | 1.00 | 79.7% | 0.0 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 8 | 20:11 | 1.52 | 80.3% | +0.1 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:09 | 0.50 | 61.9% | +18.5 |
 John CarlsonD · #74 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:51 | 0.07 | 65.9% | +18.5 |
 J.J. MoserD · #90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 17:03 | 0.49 | 78.1% | 0.0 |
 Ilya MikheyevRW · #95 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 16:43 | 0.04 | 39.5% | +20.2 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:31 | 0.13 | 81.0% | 0.0 |
 Gage GoncalvesC · #93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:12 | 0.32 | 91.9% | 0.0 |
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:01 | 0.03 | 70.7% | 0.0 |
 Max CrozierD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:24 | 0.13 | 69.4% | 0.0 |
 Ryan McDonaghD · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 15:21 | 0.00 | 81.8% | 0.0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:23 | 0.00 | 58.2% | +13.3 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 13:05 | 0.74 | 62.4% | +20.2 |
 Conor GeekieC · #94 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:47 | 0.18 | 70.2% | 0.0 |
 Charle-Edouard D'AstousD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:56 | 0.03 | 62.7% | 0.0 |
 Jeffrey VielLW · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:49 | 0.24 | 66.2% | 0.0 |
 Andrei Vasilevskiy#88 | W | 15 | 14 | 1 | .933 | 1.72 | +0.7 | 60:00 |