Mon, Oct 5, 2026·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa
Philadelphia Flyers 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 95% of the time.
92%
TBL winsPHI wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against PHI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Couturier–Acciari–Grundstrom | Tippett–Zegras–Barkey | Dvorak–Konecny–Michkov | Cates–Foerster–Martone | Dvorak–Konecny–Martone | Sanheim–York | Seeler–Jiricek | Benoit–Drysdale | Seeler–Sanheim | York–Jiricek | Sanheim–Drysdale | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guentzel–Cirelli–Hagel | 0:360.00–0.00 | 5:320.91–0.11 | 1:410.00–0.18 | 3:060.65–0.12 | 0:570.04–0.00 | 1:300.17–0.00 | 2:090.06–0.19 | 1:040.00–0.00 | 0:500.08–0.00 | ||
| Kucherov–Point–Goncalves | 2:120.06–0.00 | 3:560.18–0.02 | 0:360.16–0.00 | 3:300.22–0.02 | 1:260.01–0.00 | 2:350.26–0.00 | 1:330.06–0.00 | ||||
| Girgensons–Holmberg–Mikheyev | 0:450.03–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.10 | 4:570.16–0.04 | 2:040.08–0.00 | 2:400.03–0.23 | 1:560.07–0.00 | 1:170.04–0.06 | ||||
| Kucherov–Viel–Geekie | 2:260.30–0.05 | 1:130.00–0.05 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:440.28–0.00 | |||||||
| Viel–Mikheyev–Geekie | 1:320.03–0.00 | 1:010.03–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Viel–Goncalves–Geekie | 0:520.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Point–Viel–Geekie | 0:550.00–0.16 | 0:460.00–0.16 | |||||||||
| Viel–Holmberg–Geekie | 0:390.08–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Carlson–Moser | 1:000.06–0.00 | 4:250.16–0.02 | 1:100.07–0.06 | 0:330.04–0.00 | 1:400.00–0.18 | 4:030.19–0.02 | 1:070.08–0.00 | 2:320.10–0.00 | 2:150.12–0.19 | 0:350.00–0.00 | |
| D'Astous–Crozier | 4:530.33–0.05 | 1:160.00–0.14 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 1:270.00–0.05 | 3:050.03–0.09 | 2:240.19–0.00 | 1:200.28–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | |||
| McDonagh–Cernak | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:120.30–0.06 | 3:110.08–0.04 | 2:430.16–0.06 | 1:240.00–0.04 | 1:130.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 1:210.04–0.06 | 0:430.08–0.00 | |
| Hedman–Cernak | 2:040.29–0.00 | 1:350.07–0.00 | 0:390.03–0.00 | 2:240.32–0.00 | 1:250.00–0.00 | 1:410.15–0.00 | 1:320.02–0.00 | ||||
| Hedman–Crozier | 1:110.00–0.16 | 2:070.30–0.10 | 0:310.30–0.00 | 1:250.00–0.26 | 0:430.00–0.00 | ||||||
| McDonagh–Crozier | 0:430.07–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLPHIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Travis SanheimPHI | 29 | 25:04 | 0:52 | 1:58 | 1 | 8 |
 Cam YorkPHI | 29 | 23:31 | 0:49 | 1:56 | 2 | 6 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 28 | 22:15 | 0:48 | 2:12 | 3 | 3 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 19 | 21:59 | 1:09 | 2:33 | 6 | 1 |
 Jake GuentzelTBL | 23 | 21:20 | 0:56 | 2:43 | 9 | 1 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 23 | 20:11 | 0:53 | 2:38 | 8 | 2 |
 Nick SeelerPHI | 24 | 19:36 | 0:49 | 1:58 | 1 | 5 |
 Travis KonecnyPHI | 23 | 19:05 | 0:50 | 1:33 | 3 | 6 |
 Tyson FoersterPHI | 23 | 18:55 | 0:49 | 1:37 | 3 | 4 |
 Trevor ZegrasPHI | 24 | 18:19 | 0:46 | 1:30 | 4 | 0 |
 Jamie DrysdalePHI | 26 | 18:10 | 0:42 | 1:25 | 6 | 6 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 18 | 18:09 | 1:01 | 2:23 | 6 | 1 |
 John CarlsonTBL | 16 | 17:51 | 1:07 | 2:20 | 4 | 2 |
 David JiricekPHI | 26 | 17:42 | 0:41 | 1:06 | 2 | 2 |
 J.J. MoserTBL | 19 | 17:03 | 0:54 | 2:10 | 3 | 3 |
 Ilya MikheyevTBL | 22 | 16:43 | 0:46 | 1:19 | 4 | 4 |
 Matvei MichkovPHI | 20 | 16:40 | 0:50 | 1:31 | 2 | 3 |
 Sean CouturierPHI | 24 | 16:35 | 0:41 | 1:06 | 1 | 10 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 22 | 16:31 | 0:45 | 1:32 | 7 | 1 |
 Gage GoncalvesTBL | 20 | 16:12 | 0:49 | 1:44 | 3 | 2 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 18 | 16:01 | 0:53 | 1:52 | 1 | 2 |
 Max CrozierTBL | 20 | 15:24 | 0:46 | 1:18 | 4 | 0 |
 Ryan McDonaghTBL | 19 | 15:21 | 0:48 | 1:32 | 3 | 2 |
 Porter MartonePHI | 19 | 14:36 | 0:46 | 1:15 | 4 | 4 |
 Christian DvorakPHI | 19 | 14:24 | 0:45 | 1:18 | 0 | 6 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsTBL | 20 | 14:23 | 0:43 | 1:10 | 4 | 4 |
 Owen TippettPHI | 21 | 13:58 | 0:40 | 1:16 | 4 | 1 |
 Noel AcciariPHI | 20 | 13:39 | 0:41 | 1:33 | 0 | 9 |
 Denver BarkeyPHI | 20 | 13:06 | 0:39 | 1:12 | 4 | 0 |
 Pontus HolmbergTBL | 19 | 13:05 | 0:41 | 1:07 | 5 | 2 |
 Simon BenoitPHI | 18 | 11:52 | 0:40 | 1:18 | 3 | 5 |
 Conor GeekieTBL | 14 | 11:47 | 0:51 | 1:21 | 4 | 0 |
 Noah CatesPHI | 17 | 11:12 | 0:40 | 1:31 | 2 | 3 |
 Charle-Edouard D'AstousTBL | 17 | 10:56 | 0:39 | 1:25 | 3 | 0 |
 Carl GrundstromPHI | 14 | 10:12 | 0:44 | 1:08 | 0 | 5 |
 Jeffrey VielTBL | 12 | 8:49 | 0:44 | 1:18 | 5 | 0 |