Mon, Oct 5, 2026·TD Garden, Boston
Ottawa Senators 4, Boston Bruins 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 57% of the time.
33%
9%
10%
48%
BOS winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 24:49 | 0.02 | 48.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 24:13 | 0.04 | 49.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 23:21 | 0.00 | 54.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 20:15 | 0.00 | 60.0% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 3 | 18:56 | 0.47 | 54.4% | +37.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18:38 | 0.33 | 49.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:56 | 0.28 | 67.4% | +4.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:53 | 0.41 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:42 | 0.01 | 68.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 15:44 | 0.21 | 57.2% | +19.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:11 | 0.30 | 46.8% | +9.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:58 | 0.05 | 45.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:03 | 0.20 | 14.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 12:13 | 0.14 | 42.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:58 | 0.05 | 38.6% | +4.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:56 | 0.00 | 33.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:39 | 0.00 | 29.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 5:35 | 0.03 | 40.3% | 0.0 |
| – | 9 | 8 | 1 | .889 | 0.73 | −0.3 | 20:00 | |
| W | 10 | 10 | 0 | 1.000 | 1.46 | +1.5 | 40:00 |
Boston Bruins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:01 | 0.08 | 40.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 21:00 | 0.11 | 61.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 20:58 | 0.42 | 43.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:02 | 0.44 | 62.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:39 | 0.04 | 56.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:17 | 0.03 | 40.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:46 | 0.05 | 68.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:43 | 0.03 | 42.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:25 | 0.00 | 87.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:16 | 0.03 | 28.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 15:32 | 0.42 | 62.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:20 | 0.00 | 54.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 13:55 | 0.32 | 46.6% | +2.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:56 | 0.00 | 48.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:32 | 0.00 | 76.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:28 | 0.14 | 41.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 10:47 | 0.05 | 40.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:19 | 0.03 | 37.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 24 | 20 | 4 | .833 | 2.56 | −1.4 | 60:00 |