Thu, Oct 8, 2026·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Philadelphia Flyers 1, Ottawa Senators 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 56% of the time.
35%
9%
10%
46%
OTT winsPHI wins
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23:15 | 0.16 | 76.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:42 | 0.19 | 60.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:25 | 0.14 | 70.7% | +21.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:25 | 0.05 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:17 | 0.10 | 20.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17:21 | 0.49 | 77.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17:11 | 0.45 | 53.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:04 | 0.27 | 68.8% | +21.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:53 | 0.04 | 27.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:33 | 0.29 | 86.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:02 | 0.00 | 60.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:20 | 0.20 | 51.3% | +21.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:56 | 0.00 | 63.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:29 | 0.00 | 16.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:24 | 0.00 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:50 | 0.22 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:50 | 0.00 | 58.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:56 | 0.12 | 21.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 26 | 24 | 2 | .923 | 2.41 | +0.4 | 58:15 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 29:19 | 0.15 | 57.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:50 | 0.46 | 40.9% | +40.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:44 | 0.00 | 57.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:14 | 0.00 | 66.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:43 | 0.10 | 36.0% | +40.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:50 | 0.13 | 33.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:29 | 0.00 | 21.5% | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:47 | 0.11 | 46.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:28 | 0.31 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:12 | 0.03 | 39.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:07 | 0.14 | 58.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:45 | 0.10 | 30.7% | +40.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:13 | 0.40 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:56 | 0.19 | 55.4% | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:43 | 0.18 | 62.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 11:13 | 0.11 | 85.6% | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:21 | 0.00 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1:24 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 28 | 1 | .966 | 2.71 | +1.7 | 60:00 |