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Ice Lab

Centre · #22

Mavrik Bourque

Dallas Stars Nashville Predators(traded during the season)
Age
24
Shoots
Right
Height
180 cm
Weight
85 kg
Born
Plessisville, CAN
Draft
2020, round 1, #30 (DAL)

Career · 2023–24 to 2026–27

Games
156
Goals
31
Points
66
TOI per game
14:09
xGF% (5v5)
53.5%
Goals above expected
+0.4
ShowAll teamsDallas StarsNashville Predators

Season by season

The regular-season line for each season, with the total, by team for traded players.

2023–24DAL1000010:5620.0%00.271.0%
2024–25DAL73111425+612:418013.8%312.050.9%
2025–26DAL82202141+615:2914713.6%518.354.9%
2026–27NSH3011+118:1570.0%00.543.9%
Total2 teams159313667+1314:1323613.1%831.053.2%

Form

Rolling averages smooth out single games so the trend shows.

Form, ten-game rolling

Points and individual expected goals per game (left scale), averaged over the previous ten games. Ice time is on the second chart.

Points per gameixG per gameTOI per game (minutes)
00.20.40.60.811.220406080100120140
10m12m14m16m18m20406080100120140Game

Player card

Model-based

How 2023–24 to 2026–27 compares with everyone else at the position over the same seasons, and the players with the most similar profile.

Overall rating

2nd line

77th percentile among qualified forwards, blending scoring 40%, play-driving 40%, usage 20%.

  1. 1st line
  2. 2nd line
  3. 3rd line
  4. 4th line
  5. Extra / AHL

Scoring

2nd line
  • Goals /600.8262nd pct
  • Assists /600.9654th pct
  • ixG /600.8260th pct
  • Goals above expected0.059th pct

Play-driving

1st line
  • xGF% (5v5)53.2%83rd pct
  • CF% (5v5)51.8%78th pct
  • Relative xGF%+2.680th pct
  • Penalty diff /600.4084th pct

Usage

3rd line
  • TOI per game14:1353rd pct
  • PP time share17.7%43rd pct
  • Offensive zone starts50.1%40th pct
  • Quality of competition24.8%68th pct

Percentiles among forwards with 200+ minutes at 5-on-5 and 20+ games. Ratings rank each column's average percentile among the same players and read it as a role on a depth chart (how).

Most similar players this season

  1. Justin SourdifWSH0.85
  2. Pontus HolmbergTBL0.84
  3. Rutger McGroartyPIT0.82
  4. Anthony CirelliTBL0.81
  5. Noah CatesPHI0.77
  6. Michael AmadioOTT0.73

Faceoffs

How often Bourque wins the draw over 2023–24 to 2026–27, against whom and where, and what a win leads to. Ranked among players with 624+ draws over the same seasons.

Win rate

45.9%

284–335 · below the 624 draws of a regular

Against an average centre

45.3%

Opponents won 49.4% of their draws; an average centre would have won 50.6% against them.

Wins above average

−29

Draws won beyond what an average centre facing the same opponents would have won.

Draws per game

4.3

619 draws in all.

By dot, attacking to the right

45%154 · −0.321%14 · +0.943%141 · +3.00%4 · –55%40 · +0.867%3 · 0.050%28 · +1.641%17 · +1.248%218 · +2.0Attacking zone →← Defending zone

Win rate at each dot; the small numbers are draws and the xG swing (×100) of winning rather than losing there.

By zone

  • Offensive zone41.3% 64–91
  • Neutral zone47.2% 108–121
  • Defensive zone47.7% 112–123

By strength

  • Even strength46.4% 261–302
  • Power play37.0% 10–17
  • Shorthanded44.8% 13–16

What a win leads to

Shot attempts in the next 20 seconds, for minus against, per 100 draws: +14 after a win, −18 after a loss. Each win was worth 1.4 expected goals per 100 draws more than a loss.

Most-faced opponents

Season by season

SeasonDrawsWin rateAgainst average
2023–24633.3%30.3%
2024–2534846.3%45.2%
2025–2623645.3%45.3%
2026–272948.3%50.0%

Finishing

Model-based

Did the goals match the chances?

Goals against expected goals

Cumulative goals (solid) and individual xG (dashed) through the season. The gap is finishing: above the dashed line, the player scored more than an average shooter would from the same chances.

+0.4 goals above expected

010203020406080100120140Game

Goals above expected, everyone at the same position with 20+ games

−30−20−100+10+20+30+40+50

Speed and tracking

From the NHL's EDGE tracking system (2021–22 on): skating speed, shot speed, distance and zone time, for the selected seasons and then every tracked season, to show improvement or decline.

Tracking data (NHL EDGE)

Values from the NHL's puck and player tracking, with the NHL's own league percentile for each. Missing values mean the player wasn't tracked enough.

Tracking

  • Top skating speed33.1 km/h22nd pct
  • Speed bursts over 20 mph559th pct
  • Hardest shot133.4 km/h76th pct
  • Distance skated14 km68th pct
  • Offensive-zone time37.9%20th pct
Tracking, season by season

Each season against the other forwards that season with 20+ games. A season in progress appears once half its games are played, as provisional: season bests only grow. Bursts and distance are per 60 minutes of ice time, so seasons with fewer games still compare. Percentiles are on these rates, so they can differ from the NHL's, which are on season totals.

This playerMedian forwardMiddle half (25th–75th percentile)Hollow dot: too few games to rank, or a season in progress (*, dashed). Dotted line: no NHL games that season.

Top skating speed

36.1 km/h52nd pct

▲ +0.5 km/h since 2024–25

343536373823–2424–2525–262023–24: 35.0 km/h, 16th percentile (1 games, too few to rank reliably)2024–25: 35.6 km/h, 31st percentile (73 games)2025–26: 36.1 km/h, 52nd percentile (82 games)

Bursts over 20 mph per 60

5.653rd pct

▼ −0.5 since 2024–25

2468101223–2424–2525–262023–24: 11.0, 90th percentile (1 games, too few to rank reliably)2024–25: 6.1, 59th percentile (73 games)2025–26: 5.6, 53rd percentile (82 games)

Distance skated per 60

15.2 km30th pct

▼ −0.4 km since 2024–25

14.51515.51616.523–2424–2525–262023–24: 16.0 km, 78th percentile (1 games, too few to rank reliably)2024–25: 15.6 km, 51st percentile (73 games)2025–26: 15.2 km, 30th percentile (82 games)

Hardest shot

144.4 km/h79th pct

▲ +8.6 km/h since 2024–25

12013014015016023–2424–2525–262023–24: 124.8 km/h, 3rd percentile (1 games, too few to rank reliably)2024–25: 135.8 km/h, 26th percentile (73 games)2025–26: 144.4 km/h, 79th percentile (82 games)

Offensive-zone time

42.8%62nd pct

▲ +1.0 points since 2024–25

35%40%45%50%55%23–2424–2525–262023–24: 51.8%, 100th percentile (1 games, too few to rank reliably)2024–25: 41.9%, 49th percentile (73 games)2025–26: 42.8%, 62nd percentile (82 games)