Wed, Oct 28, 2009·Pengrowth Saddledome, Calgary
Colorado Avalanche 3, Calgary Flames 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 80% of the time.
72%
8%
8%
12%
CGY winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25:16 | 0.00 | – | +28.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24:00 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 22:16 | 0.20 | – | +28.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 21:07 | 0.10 | – | +28.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:33 | 0.04 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:06 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:13 | 0.02 | – | +11.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:50 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:21 | 0.01 | – | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:52 | 0.06 | – | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:34 | 0.24 | – | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:07 | 0.00 | – | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:53 | 0.07 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 12:24 | 0.04 | – | +11.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:01 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:47 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:35 | 0.02 | – | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 4:05 | 0.14 | – | +11.4 |
| W | 32 | 30 | 2 | .938 | 2.45 | +0.4 | 60:00 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26:32 | 0.04 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25:14 | 0.16 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:29 | 0.09 | – | +10.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 21:25 | 0.18 | – | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 20:59 | 0.26 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:57 | 0.27 | – | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 19:39 | 0.12 | – | +10.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:34 | 0.25 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:18 | 0.07 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:16 | 0.03 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 16:08 | 0.40 | – | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 15:03 | 0.06 | – | +10.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:24 | 0.24 | – | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:22 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:47 | 0.07 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 10:19 | 0.22 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:28 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:33 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 |
| L | 14 | 11 | 3 | .786 | 0.95 | −2.1 | 58:33 |
Shift data for this game is incomplete, so on-ice figures are not shown.