Thu, Oct 14, 2010·Scotiabank Place, Ottawa
Carolina Hurricanes 2, Ottawa Senators 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 68% of the time.
60%
9%
23%
OTT winsCAR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Dwyer–Sutter–Bowman | Cole–LaRose–Staal | Ruutu–Jokinen–Skinner | Samsonov–Kostopoulos–Dalpe | Cole–Staal–Skinner | Ruutu–Jokinen–LaRose | Corvo–Pitkanen | Gleason–McBain | Harrison–Babchuk | Pitkanen–McBain | Gleason–Babchuk | Pitkanen–Babchuk | Harrison–McBain | Corvo–Gleason | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfredsson–Spezza–Michalek | 2:330.34–0.00 | 5:110.08–0.06 | 0:360.03–0.02 | 2:520.77–0.59 | 1:450.00–0.08 | 7:100.22–0.70 | 1:140.00–0.03 | 1:350.87–0.00 | 1:040.18–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:510.03–0.02 | |||
| Fisher–Neil–Foligno | 5:080.19–0.00 | 1:480.38–0.07 | 2:260.10–0.07 | 1:550.38–0.00 | 1:300.25–0.00 | 1:070.07–0.00 | 0:540.03–0.00 | 0:540.07–0.00 | ||||||
| Kovalev–Regin–Shannon | 2:450.08–0.10 | 0:420.01–0.02 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 3:030.26–0.01 | 3:490.18–0.09 | 2:470.02–0.10 | 0:570.15–0.00 | |||||||
| Ruutu–Kelly–Winchester | 1:550.01–0.02 | 1:010.10–0.00 | 1:310.00–0.14 | 2:200.12–0.00 | 3:290.01–0.16 | 1:560.10–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:090.12–0.00 | ||||||
| Fisher–Foligno–Winchester | 0:410.00–0.01 | 0:350.04–0.10 | 0:360.00–0.01 | 0:540.07–0.10 | ||||||||||
| Ruutu–Neil–Kelly | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.11 | 0:470.00–0.02 | |||||||||||
| Gonchar–Phillips | 1:450.13–0.00 | 6:050.10–0.10 | 1:300.18–0.02 | 0:310.15–0.00 | 3:470.77–0.74 | 6:060.12–0.63 | 2:590.18–0.19 | 2:321.02–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 1:170.00–0.00 | ||||
| Carkner–Campoli | 2:200.05–0.03 | 0:390.00–0.03 | 1:500.01–0.07 | 2:230.21–0.00 | 2:410.00–0.02 | 4:070.17–0.12 | 3:370.07–0.03 | 3:000.34–0.00 | ||||||
| Lee–Karlsson | 5:530.34–0.10 | 2:070.24–0.22 | 0:500.05–0.01 | 1:380.08–0.05 | 3:260.23–0.16 | 2:070.09–0.12 | 1:100.25–0.00 | 1:070.03–0.00 | ||||||
| Campoli–Karlsson | 0:450.03–0.02 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:360.03–0.02 | |||||||||||
| Carkner–Karlsson | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:340.12–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.03 | 0:340.12–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Gonchar–Karlsson | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Gonchar–Campoli | 0:540.07–0.00 | 0:540.07–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Phillips–Carkner | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
OTTCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Joni PitkanenCAR | 28 | 28:02 | 1:00 | 1:43 | 4 | 2 |
 Sergei GoncharOTT | 25 | 25:41 | 1:02 | 2:47 | 3 | 1 |
 Joe CorvoCAR | 27 | 23:17 | 0:52 | 1:27 | 3 | 3 |
 Chris PhillipsOTT | 24 | 22:18 | 0:56 | 1:45 | 1 | 0 |
 Jamie McBainCAR | 24 | 21:54 | 0:55 | 1:34 | 2 | 2 |
 Erik KarlssonOTT | 20 | 20:32 | 1:02 | 2:15 | 3 | 0 |
 Tim GleasonCAR | 27 | 19:59 | 0:44 | 1:34 | 1 | 7 |
 Eric StaalCAR | 25 | 19:50 | 0:48 | 1:34 | 1 | 3 |
 Daniel AlfredssonOTT | 22 | 19:42 | 0:54 | 1:31 | 5 | 1 |
 Brandon SutterCAR | 21 | 19:36 | 0:56 | 1:42 | 1 | 2 |
 Jason SpezzaOTT | 23 | 19:26 | 0:51 | 1:40 | 5 | 0 |
 Chris CampoliOTT | 21 | 19:21 | 0:55 | 2:20 | 3 | 3 |
 Milan MichalekOTT | 23 | 19:08 | 0:50 | 1:46 | 5 | 0 |
 Matt CarknerOTT | 21 | 18:13 | 0:52 | 1:23 | 3 | 2 |
 Jussi JokinenCAR | 21 | 17:26 | 0:50 | 1:24 | 3 | 3 |
 Mike FisherOTT | 23 | 17:08 | 0:45 | 1:28 | 4 | 5 |
 Erik ColeCAR | 24 | 16:38 | 0:42 | 1:34 | 1 | 2 |
 Jeff SkinnerCAR | 21 | 16:00 | 0:46 | 1:34 | 2 | 3 |
 Chris KellyOTT | 21 | 15:55 | 0:45 | 1:11 | 2 | 2 |
 Chad LaRoseCAR | 23 | 15:36 | 0:41 | 1:05 | 1 | 3 |
 Patrick DwyerCAR | 16 | 15:18 | 0:57 | 1:42 | 0 | 1 |
 Anton BabchukCAR | 19 | 15:03 | 0:48 | 1:26 | 3 | 5 |
 Tuomo RuutuCAR | 18 | 14:49 | 0:49 | 1:34 | 2 | 3 |
 Nick FolignoOTT | 18 | 14:15 | 0:48 | 1:32 | 4 | 1 |
 Jarkko RuutuOTT | 18 | 13:52 | 0:46 | 1:11 | 2 | 1 |
 Drayson BowmanCAR | 14 | 13:42 | 0:59 | 1:36 | 0 | 1 |
 Brian LeeOTT | 18 | 13:05 | 0:44 | 1:38 | 0 | 0 |
 Alex KovalevOTT | 14 | 12:40 | 0:54 | 1:26 | 1 | 1 |
 Jay HarrisonCAR | 16 | 11:50 | 0:44 | 1:31 | 1 | 3 |
 Chris NeilOTT | 16 | 11:43 | 0:44 | 1:51 | 3 | 0 |
 Jesse WinchesterOTT | 14 | 10:54 | 0:47 | 1:10 | 2 | 0 |
 Sergei SamsonovCAR | 14 | 10:40 | 0:46 | 1:17 | 4 | 0 |
 Peter ReginOTT | 13 | 9:53 | 0:46 | 1:13 | 0 | 1 |
 Ryan ShannonOTT | 12 | 9:53 | 0:49 | 1:13 | 0 | 1 |
 Tom KostopoulosCAR | 12 | 8:08 | 0:41 | 1:08 | 2 | 1 |
 Zac DalpeCAR | 11 | 7:21 | 0:40 | 0:56 | 1 | 0 |