Tue, Jan 4, 2011·Pepsi Center, Denver
Buffalo Sabres 3, Colorado Avalanche 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 65% of the time.
28%
8%
57%
COL winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:22 | 0.01 | 48.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 23:40 | 0.15 | 66.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22:06 | 0.47 | 52.0% | +28.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 20:54 | 0.45 | 42.6% | +18.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 19:42 | 0.33 | 56.9% | +47.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:36 | 0.02 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19:26 | 0.88 | 84.1% | +28.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 19:20 | 0.39 | 48.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 18:45 | 0.49 | 69.6% | +31.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16:25 | 0.23 | 71.9% | +50.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:38 | 0.10 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:21 | 0.23 | 65.0% | +31.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:34 | 0.09 | 58.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:23 | 0.33 | 53.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:50 | 0.00 | 51.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:12 | 0.00 | 36.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:38 | 0.02 | 75.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:33 | 0.00 | 19.1% | 0.0 |
| O | 34 | 30 | 4 | .882 | 3.23 | −0.8 | 64:15 |
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 22:45 | 0.08 | 30.1% | +53.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 22:25 | 0.17 | 37.2% | +34.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:46 | 0.20 | 40.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:00 | 0.00 | 48.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 19:59 | 0.87 | 52.8% | +31.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:29 | 0.14 | 27.7% | +17.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:21 | 0.00 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:52 | 0.01 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18:29 | 0.29 | 41.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:22 | 0.08 | 39.4% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 17:45 | 0.36 | 44.8% | +31.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:36 | 0.48 | 38.5% | +53.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 17:35 | 0.25 | 51.4% | +84.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:09 | 0.01 | 45.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:26 | 0.12 | 24.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:43 | 0.03 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:34 | 0.10 | 86.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:40 | 0.04 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 40 | 37 | 3 | .925 | 4.16 | +1.2 | 64:17 |