Tue, Jan 11, 2011·HSBC Arena, Buffalo
Philadelphia Flyers 5, Buffalo Sabres 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 72% of the time.
21%
65%
BUF winsPHI wins
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 23:43 | 0.01 | 74.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 23:04 | 0.44 | 64.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 22:19 | 0.06 | 30.9% | +38.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:22 | 0.03 | 39.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:11 | 0.28 | 46.6% | +11.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:59 | 0.00 | 52.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:16 | 0.03 | 50.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 5 | 17:07 | 0.33 | 55.2% | +68.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17:03 | 0.75 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16:56 | 0.66 | 66.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:53 | 0.05 | 32.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 15:27 | 0.44 | 63.7% | +29.8 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 2 | 15:18 | 0.73 | 47.5% | +42.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:08 | 0.07 | 37.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:57 | 0.00 | 58.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:26 | 0.03 | 39.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:02 | 0.00 | 51.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:49 | 0.07 | 32.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 40 | 38 | 2 | .950 | 2.62 | +0.6 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 24:00 | 0.17 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 21:35 | 0.04 | 44.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 20:00 | 0.07 | 47.0% | +14.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:53 | 0.00 | 47.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:16 | 0.03 | 46.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 7 | 18:16 | 0.37 | 45.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:15 | 0.11 | 19.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:51 | 0.06 | 20.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:28 | 0.01 | 66.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:26 | 0.41 | 70.6% | +14.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:21 | 0.02 | 70.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 17:13 | 0.18 | 56.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:08 | 0.04 | 30.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 16:12 | 0.96 | 63.2% | +27.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:21 | 0.12 | 53.8% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:15 | 0.02 | 39.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:30 | 0.00 | 53.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:56 | 0.00 | 22.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 32 | 28 | 4 | .875 | 3.35 | −0.7 | 59:49 |