Tue, Jan 25, 2011·Scotiabank Place, Ottawa
Buffalo Sabres 3, Ottawa Senators 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 53% of the time.
38%
9%
10%
42%
OTT winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Hecht–Pominville–Vanek | Stafford–Byron–Ennis | Gaustad–McCormick–Gerbe | Niedermayer–Grier–Ellis | Grier–Gaustad–Gerbe | Gaustad–Stafford–Gerbe | Leopold–Montador | Sekera–Myers | Morrisonn–Weber | Morrisonn–Myers | Sekera–Weber | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfredsson–Kelly–Foligno | 4:560.19–0.10 | 0:570.22–0.00 | 4:050.21–0.08 | 2:240.01–0.02 | |||||||
| Fisher–Michalek–Butler | 0:320.00–0.03 | 2:170.02–0.18 | 1:030.00–0.00 | 1:050.01–0.00 | 2:080.01–0.03 | 1:280.00–0.25 | 0:410.00–0.00 | ||||
| Neil–Smith–Winchester | 0:320.00–0.00 | 3:410.28–0.02 | 3:150.06–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.01 | 0:450.23–0.01 | ||||||
| Kovalev–Kelly–Michalek | 2:090.00–0.24 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 1:280.02–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.04 | 1:410.00–0.20 | 2:100.02–0.00 | |||||
| Alfredsson–Fisher–Foligno | 1:310.00–0.02 | 0:400.00–0.02 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:440.00–0.02 | 2:130.00–0.02 | ||||||
| Kovalev–Regin–Shannon | 0:440.06–0.55 | 1:490.17–0.00 | 1:490.02–0.55 | 0:460.15–0.00 | |||||||
| Neil–Shannon–Winchester | 1:280.00–0.08 | 2:340.00–0.08 | |||||||||
| Kovalev–Fisher–Michalek | 0:310.14–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.02 | 0:450.14–0.02 | 0:500.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Neil–Regin–Winchester | 1:140.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Shannon–Smith–Butler | 1:060.13–0.00 | 1:060.13–0.00 | |||||||||
| Neil–Foligno–Winchester | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.01 | 0:330.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Regin–Shannon–Butler | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.03 | |||||||||
| Phillips–Karlsson | 8:110.33–0.08 | 2:080.01–0.18 | 1:040.06–0.56 | 1:430.00–0.01 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 5:020.21–0.62 | 6:380.00–0.16 | 2:430.00–0.05 | |||
| Gonchar–Lee | 1:290.00–0.03 | 3:150.21–0.18 | 2:520.23–0.08 | 3:170.15–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 3:390.13–0.03 | 3:260.21–0.04 | 4:590.02–0.28 | 1:150.00–0.00 | 0:360.23–0.01 | |
| Carkner–Campoli | 0:470.00–0.08 | 3:260.02–0.09 | 4:320.06–0.00 | 2:270.21–0.00 | 6:300.09–0.09 | 2:260.05–0.08 | 2:480.16–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | |||
| Campoli–Lee | 1:120.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Gonchar–Campoli | 0:470.00–0.02 | ||||||||||
| Gonchar–Karlsson | 0:470.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
OTTBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Sergei GoncharOTT | 22 | 25:31 | 1:10 | 2:14 | 7 | 1 |
 Erik KarlssonOTT | 23 | 25:24 | 1:06 | 2:25 | 5 | 2 |
 Jordan LeopoldBUF | 29 | 23:57 | 0:50 | 1:55 | 3 | 7 |
 Steve MontadorBUF | 28 | 23:37 | 0:51 | 1:56 | 4 | 5 |
 Mike FisherOTT | 19 | 21:15 | 1:07 | 2:22 | 6 | 1 |
 Andrej SekeraBUF | 26 | 20:26 | 0:47 | 1:18 | 4 | 0 |
 Tyler MyersBUF | 26 | 20:14 | 0:47 | 1:27 | 4 | 0 |
 Chris PhillipsOTT | 24 | 19:59 | 0:50 | 1:38 | 5 | 1 |
 Nick FolignoOTT | 21 | 19:48 | 0:57 | 2:09 | 8 | 1 |
 Daniel AlfredssonOTT | 22 | 19:36 | 0:53 | 2:09 | 8 | 2 |
 Chris CampoliOTT | 23 | 19:07 | 0:50 | 1:40 | 5 | 1 |
 Milan MichalekOTT | 19 | 18:35 | 0:59 | 2:14 | 3 | 0 |
 Mike WeberBUF | 22 | 18:08 | 0:49 | 1:31 | 1 | 2 |
 Brian LeeOTT | 20 | 18:07 | 0:54 | 2:41 | 1 | 2 |
 Chris KellyOTT | 22 | 17:54 | 0:49 | 1:32 | 4 | 3 |
 Shaone MorrisonnBUF | 22 | 17:39 | 0:48 | 1:31 | 1 | 2 |
 Paul GaustadBUF | 25 | 17:14 | 0:41 | 1:14 | 1 | 7 |
 Jason PominvilleBUF | 23 | 17:11 | 0:45 | 1:25 | 4 | 4 |
 Jochen HechtBUF | 23 | 17:00 | 0:44 | 1:18 | 4 | 2 |
 Jesse WinchesterOTT | 22 | 16:12 | 0:44 | 1:34 | 6 | 2 |
 Drew StaffordBUF | 18 | 15:48 | 0:53 | 1:27 | 1 | 1 |
 Nathan GerbeBUF | 19 | 15:21 | 0:48 | 1:19 | 2 | 2 |
 Chris NeilOTT | 18 | 15:05 | 0:50 | 1:47 | 3 | 0 |
 Matt CarknerOTT | 23 | 14:57 | 0:39 | 1:34 | 3 | 1 |
 Rob NiedermayerBUF | 17 | 14:49 | 0:52 | 1:28 | 1 | 1 |
 Thomas VanekBUF | 19 | 14:36 | 0:46 | 1:18 | 4 | 1 |
 Mike GrierBUF | 19 | 14:34 | 0:46 | 1:37 | 2 | 3 |
 Alex KovalevOTT | 15 | 14:09 | 0:57 | 1:45 | 2 | 1 |
 Tyler EnnisBUF | 18 | 13:58 | 0:47 | 1:27 | 2 | 2 |
 Ryan ShannonOTT | 16 | 12:57 | 0:49 | 1:34 | 2 | 1 |
 Paul ByronBUF | 17 | 12:44 | 0:45 | 1:27 | 1 | 2 |
 Matt EllisBUF | 15 | 11:40 | 0:47 | 1:37 | 2 | 1 |
 Cody McCormickBUF | 18 | 11:39 | 0:39 | 0:58 | 1 | 2 |
 Bobby ButlerOTT | 11 | 10:40 | 0:58 | 2:22 | 1 | 0 |
 Zack SmithOTT | 14 | 10:17 | 0:44 | 1:14 | 3 | 1 |
 Peter ReginOTT | 10 | 6:23 | 0:38 | 1:15 | 1 | 1 |