Sat, Feb 12, 2011·St. Pete Times Forum, Tampa
Carolina Hurricanes 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 59% of the time.
50%
9%
9%
31%
TBL winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 26:45 | 0.13 | 38.1% | +61.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 | 26:07 | 0.59 | 66.3% | +18.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 25:40 | 0.15 | 36.3% | +47.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:54 | 0.03 | 23.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 23:21 | 0.31 | 52.2% | +61.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:48 | 0.13 | 13.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:43 | 0.04 | 32.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:16 | 0.03 | 39.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:44 | 0.41 | 33.2% | +4.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16:34 | 0.35 | 33.7% | +4.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:04 | 0.08 | 20.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:02 | 0.00 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:11 | 0.00 | 23.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 11:04 | 0.02 | 28.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:52 | 0.00 | 56.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:11 | 0.00 | 54.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:09 | 0.00 | 35.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1:56 | 0.00 | 25.4% | 0.0 |
| O | 41 | 37 | 4 | .902 | 2.82 | −1.2 | 60:34 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:52 | 0.02 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21:03 | 0.36 | 76.5% | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21:01 | 0.27 | 78.4% | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:28 | 0.07 | 46.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:22 | 0.00 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 18:56 | 0.15 | 77.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18:54 | 0.32 | 76.2% | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:23 | 0.00 | 59.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 17:30 | 0.34 | 64.6% | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:33 | 0.27 | 48.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14:35 | 0.31 | 71.6% | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:19 | 0.02 | 69.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:15 | 0.17 | 76.5% | +20.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 12:47 | 0.16 | 59.0% | +66.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:41 | 0.05 | 47.5% | +13.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 11:14 | 0.13 | 59.8% | +53.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:06 | 0.00 | 70.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:51 | 0.15 | 65.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 34 | 31 | 3 | .912 | 2.26 | −0.7 | 61:32 |