Sat, Feb 26, 2011·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Pittsburgh Penguins 6, Toronto Maple Leafs 5 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 56% of the time.
36%
8%
9%
47%
TOR winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 32:47 | 0.17 | 61.3% | +24.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:50 | 0.00 | 64.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:38 | 0.02 | 47.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 20:22 | 0.16 | 40.6% | +24.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:42 | 0.01 | 65.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:09 | 0.08 | 70.7% | +18.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:06 | 0.17 | 59.0% | +28.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:01 | 0.13 | 87.6% | +28.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 17:17 | 0.07 | 39.3% | +18.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 17:09 | 0.67 | 54.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 16:10 | 0.39 | 66.6% | +28.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:00 | 0.24 | 86.1% | +29.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 | 13:59 | 0.65 | 89.0% | +57.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:23 | 0.00 | 46.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:37 | 0.15 | 69.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:35 | 0.13 | 81.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 9:43 | 0.23 | 66.6% | +32.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 8:36 | 0.10 | 71.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 26 | 5 | .839 | 3.02 | −2.0 | 65:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 29:39 | 0.47 | 46.1% | +47.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 24:27 | 0.21 | 42.5% | +28.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:38 | 0.03 | 37.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 1 | 21:38 | 0.10 | 23.4% | +47.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 20:33 | 0.44 | 40.0% | +29.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:57 | 0.13 | 33.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:37 | 0.00 | 41.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:32 | 0.24 | 39.9% | +29.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:49 | 0.08 | 39.2% | +29.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:03 | 0.16 | 35.8% | +22.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:43 | 0.00 | 27.3% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | −2 | 2 | 17:25 | 0.64 | 29.9% | +45.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:17 | 0.00 | 40.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:14 | 0.15 | 46.1% | +22.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:43 | 0.14 | 41.4% | +30.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:19 | 0.04 | 19.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:04 | 0.08 | 64.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4:54 | 0.10 | 69.1% | 0.0 |
| O | 40 | 35 | 5 | .875 | 3.37 | −1.6 | 65:00 |