Wed, Mar 2, 2011·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Pittsburgh Penguins 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 60% of the time.
50%
10%
12%
28%
TOR winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Paul MartinD · #7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24:10 | 0.07 | 63.2% | 0.0 |
 Kris LetangD · #58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 24:07 | 0.01 | 27.9% | 0.0 |
 Zbynek MichalekD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:26 | 0.04 | 53.1% | 0.0 |
 Matt NiskanenD · #2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 20:00 | 0.08 | 66.4% | +42.9 |
 Jordan StaalC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:38 | 0.16 | 37.4% | 0.0 |
 Ben LovejoyD · #6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 17:21 | 0.03 | 58.8% | +18.7 |
 Matt CookeLW · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:19 | 0.05 | 38.9% | 0.0 |
 Tyler KennedyC · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:19 | 0.06 | 51.5% | 0.0 |
 Mark LetestuC · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:58 | 0.08 | 62.7% | 0.0 |
 Max TalbotC · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:53 | 0.03 | 38.9% | 0.0 |
 James NealLW · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:33 | 0.21 | 70.7% | 0.0 |
 Pascal DupuisRW · #9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 14:19 | 0.10 | 31.4% | +18.7 |
 Alex KovalevRW · #72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:18 | 0.06 | 60.6% | 0.0 |
 Craig AdamsRW · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 13:32 | 0.07 | 55.2% | 0.0 |
 Deryk EngellandD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 13:19 | 0.05 | 31.9% | 0.0 |
 Dustin JeffreyLW · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:25 | 0.14 | 38.4% | 0.0 |
 Mike RuppLW · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 10:29 | 0.09 | 66.0% | 0.0 |
 Chris ConnerRW · #16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 9:42 | 0.13 | 67.5% | +24.2 |
 Marc-Andre Fleury#29 | O | 20 | 17 | 3 | .850 | 2.01 | −1.0 | 60:42 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Dion PhaneufD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 25:58 | 0.15 | 58.4% | 0.0 |
 Carl GunnarssonD · #36 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 23:27 | 0.00 | 66.7% | +84.2 |
 Keith AulieD · #59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:02 | 0.01 | 47.7% | 0.0 |
 Luke SchennD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:50 | 0.05 | 46.9% | 0.0 |
 Tyler BozakC · #42 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:14 | 0.13 | 51.1% | +31.0 |
 Mikhail GrabovskiC · #84 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 18:41 | 0.46 | 58.4% | +73.6 |
 Phil KesselRW · #81 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 18:27 | 0.48 | 52.1% | +84.2 |
 Joffrey LupulLW · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:59 | 0.17 | 43.4% | 0.0 |
 Nikolay KuleminLW · #41 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:08 | 0.11 | 61.0% | +20.4 |
 Clarke MacArthurLW · #16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:59 | 0.10 | 65.6% | +20.4 |
 Tim BrentC · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:17 | 0.09 | 25.0% | 0.0 |
 Colby ArmstrongRW · #9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:53 | 0.12 | 77.3% | 0.0 |
 Joey CrabbRW · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:30 | 0.00 | 35.3% | 0.0 |
 Mike KomisarekD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:57 | 0.00 | 46.0% | 0.0 |
 Brett LebdaD · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:45 | 0.07 | 29.5% | 0.0 |
 Darryl BoyceC · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:06 | 0.00 | 65.7% | 0.0 |
 Mike BrownRW · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:48 | 0.00 | 46.5% | 0.0 |
 Fredrik SjostromLW · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:47 | 0.08 | 20.9% | 0.0 |
 James Reimer#34 | W | 29 | 27 | 2 | .931 | 1.47 | −0.5 | 60:42 |