Thu, Mar 3, 2011·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Philadelphia Flyers 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 51% of the time.
41%
9%
42%
PHI winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 26:21 | 0.49 | 32.7% | +64.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:23 | 0.03 | 23.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:11 | 0.10 | 9.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:08 | 0.49 | 4.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 20:07 | 0.04 | 50.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:01 | 0.24 | 51.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 | 19:57 | 0.71 | 50.0% | +25.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:51 | 0.00 | 7.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:12 | 0.09 | 50.0% | +14.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 17:18 | 0.49 | 56.5% | +40.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:49 | 0.01 | 29.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:43 | 0.00 | 67.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:50 | 0.16 | 77.3% | +38.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:00 | 0.03 | 5.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 10:16 | 0.19 | 77.3% | +38.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:15 | 0.00 | 13.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 6:57 | 0.14 | 40.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 6:41 | 0.15 | 40.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 28 | 2 | .933 | 3.34 | +1.3 | 60:00 |
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:42 | 0.12 | 41.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:31 | 0.27 | 94.3% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:09 | 0.24 | 83.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 20:52 | 0.21 | 97.3% | +21.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 20:43 | 0.20 | 59.0% | +35.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:16 | 0.00 | 45.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:23 | 0.13 | 34.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 18:04 | 0.31 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:57 | 0.77 | 53.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:33 | 0.04 | 59.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:42 | 0.28 | 82.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:00 | 0.00 | 8.7% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 13:42 | 0.32 | 59.0% | +35.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12:06 | 0.17 | 79.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:24 | 0.11 | 75.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 9:53 | 0.17 | 59.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:06 | 0.00 | 75.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 3:55 | 0.00 | 75.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 33 | 30 | 3 | .909 | 3.36 | +0.4 | 59:03 |