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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 10, 2011·BankAtlantic Center, Sunrise

Ottawa Senators 2, Florida Panthers 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 64% of the time.

FLA winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

FLA forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Neil–Foligno–SmithSpezza–Greening–ButlerSvatos–Shannon–CondraLessard–Potulny–WinchesterShannon–Condra–WinchesterPhillips–LeeKuba–KarlssonGonchar–SmithLee–SmithGonchar–PhillipsKuba–SmithGonchar–Karlsson
Bernier–Santorelli–Kennedy3:510.12–0.252:420.13–0.220:560.02–0.032:390.13–0.003:180.12–0.303:280.06–0.330:330.05–0.00
Samsonov–Weiss–Bergfors2:070.01–0.083:260.15–0.041:020.00–0.010:460.00–0.003:240.20–0.061:410.04–0.011:560.00–0.080:530.00–0.00
Reasoner–Booth–Repik1:000.00–0.052:020.06–0.120:510.03–0.001:400.04–0.003:050.10–0.241:100.00–0.000:300.00–0.00
Hordichuk–Thomas–Timmins1:110.02–0.001:060.03–0.000:520.00–0.001:390.00–0.001:530.05–0.00
Reasoner–Samsonov–Booth0:420.00–0.020:550.04–0.000:510.04–0.001:350.04–0.030:380.04–0.00
Reasoner–Bergfors–Repik0:450.05–0.001:130.00–0.051:270.05–0.030:310.00–0.02
Samsonov–Weiss–Booth1:100.02–0.001:130.02–0.00
Weiss–Bergfors–Repik0:510.00–0.030:450.00–0.00
Weaver–Garrison0:520.05–0.119:340.34–0.310:370.00–0.013:160.27–0.044:040.05–0.414:090.11–0.120:330.00–0.000:440.00–0.00
Ellerby–Kulikov3:460.12–0.200:420.00–0.002:410.08–0.131:030.02–0.032:070.03–0.025:180.22–0.242:190.02–0.11
Callahan–Wilson2:160.01–0.021:230.10–0.020:390.00–0.000:590.04–0.004:490.09–0.040:510.00–0.001:340.00–0.13
Callahan–Kulikov2:050.02–0.000:540.03–0.001:210.02–0.01
Weaver–Wilson0:420.00–0.000:420.00–0.001:050.04–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndWeiss FBergfors FSamsonov FReasoner FTimmins FSantorelli FBooth FRepik FKennedy FBernier FThomas FHordichuk FEllerby DKulikov DWeaver DGarrison DCallahan DWilson DVokoun GSvatos FShannon FCondra FSpezza FSmith FNeil FWinchester FFoligno FPotulny FButler FGreening FLessard FPhillips DLee DGonchar DKarlsson DSmith DKuba DAnderson G
FLAOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Erik KarlssonOTT2323:551:021:5733
Jason GarrisonFLA2523:090:561:4143
Jason SpezzaOTT2422:320:562:0348
Dmitry KulikovFLA2922:300:471:3936
Sergei GoncharOTT2022:141:071:5732
Stephen WeissFLA2820:560:451:2464
Marty ReasonerFLA2520:250:491:5329
Mike WeaverFLA2320:170:531:5734
Sergei SamsonovFLA2520:150:491:4062
Chris PhillipsOTT2520:100:481:2915
Filip KubaOTT2320:080:531:1724
Niclas BergforsFLA2520:040:481:2463
Zack SmithOTT2319:410:511:4944
David BoothFLA2419:370:491:2943
Brian LeeOTT2519:330:471:2815
Mike SantorelliFLA2419:200:481:2955
Colin GreeningOTT2217:420:481:3844
Ryan ShannonOTT2417:370:441:5555
Clay WilsonFLA2017:170:521:4742
Michal RepikFLA2316:490:441:1236
Joe CallahanFLA1716:280:581:4742
Chris NeilOTT1716:040:571:2243
Keaton EllerbyFLA2315:200:401:3736
Nick FolignoOTT1714:580:531:2334
Bobby ButlerOTT1614:430:551:4024
Steve BernierFLA1914:380:461:2434
Derek SmithOTT1914:130:451:2322
Erik CondraOTT2013:320:411:1032
Jesse WinchesterOTT1811:100:371:0231
Tim KennedyFLA1310:560:501:2424
Marek SvatosOTT1710:020:351:0840
Ryan PotulnyOTT96:180:421:0110
Scott TimminsFLA116:130:341:0614
Bill ThomasFLA95:510:391:1102
Francis LessardOTT74:280:380:5610
Darcy HordichukFLA64:050:411:0611