Thu, Mar 17, 2011·Centre Bell, Montreal
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Montréal Canadiens 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 79% of the time.
15%
73%
MTL winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 24:47 | 0.60 | 64.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 24:20 | 0.46 | 68.9% | +53.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:17 | 0.23 | 39.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:23 | 0.02 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:48 | 0.04 | 67.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 21:24 | 0.25 | 85.5% | +32.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 21:04 | 0.51 | 49.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −2 | 2 | 20:05 | 0.31 | 36.8% | +53.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:04 | 0.31 | 82.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 16:52 | 0.76 | 40.2% | +20.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:49 | 0.24 | 79.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:40 | 0.23 | 60.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:35 | 0.04 | 81.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:14 | 0.07 | 51.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:44 | 0.05 | 48.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:43 | 0.25 | 78.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:50 | 0.00 | 92.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:21 | 0.00 | 79.1% | 0.0 |
| O | 29 | 27 | 2 | .931 | 2.43 | +0.4 | 65:00 |
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 29:26 | 0.12 | 41.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:56 | 0.02 | 28.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 24:28 | 0.08 | 63.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22:00 | 0.34 | 41.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 21:29 | 0.27 | 43.2% | +30.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:27 | 0.19 | 24.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:19 | 0.28 | 20.8% | +23.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 19:13 | 0.09 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:52 | 0.00 | 6.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:27 | 0.04 | 80.7% | +23.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:06 | 0.04 | 28.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 16:32 | 0.50 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:11 | 0.03 | 30.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:29 | 0.00 | 58.9% | +23.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:23 | 0.14 | 77.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:01 | 0.30 | 38.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:58 | 0.00 | 17.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:26 | 0.00 | 14.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 37 | 35 | 2 | .946 | 4.36 | +2.4 | 65:00 |