Sat, Apr 2, 2011·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul
Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Minnesota Wild 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 66% of the time.
25%
10%
11%
55%
MIN winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:53 | 0.64 | 49.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:23 | 0.07 | 29.5% | +20.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:47 | 0.04 | 38.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 19:53 | 0.19 | 59.5% | +12.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:40 | 0.00 | 77.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 18:52 | 0.01 | 66.9% | +24.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:17 | 0.07 | 55.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:41 | 0.26 | 56.4% | +24.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:38 | 0.01 | 65.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:36 | 0.02 | 60.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:08 | 0.06 | 72.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:48 | 0.27 | 56.1% | +24.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:23 | 0.08 | 54.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:17 | 0.09 | 48.1% | +20.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:21 | 0.33 | 55.7% | +20.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:01 | 0.00 | 92.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:03 | 0.00 | 72.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 7:20 | 0.12 | 48.3% | +12.6 |
| W | 30 | 29 | 1 | .967 | 1.59 | +0.6 | 59:59 |
Minnesota Wild
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 27:47 | 0.11 | 46.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:26 | 0.01 | 47.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:09 | 0.07 | 26.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:52 | 0.00 | 27.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19:48 | 0.33 | 58.2% | +17.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 19:33 | 0.10 | 29.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:33 | 0.00 | 64.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 19:25 | 0.27 | 33.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 19:25 | 0.18 | 59.7% | +17.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:18 | 0.05 | 61.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:16 | 0.22 | 44.1% | +17.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:31 | 0.04 | 42.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:42 | 0.13 | 19.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:07 | 0.00 | 23.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:06 | 0.02 | 28.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:15 | 0.06 | 66.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:26 | 0.00 | 63.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:25 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 |
| L | 23 | 20 | 3 | .870 | 1.71 | −1.3 | 57:57 |