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Ice Lab

Sat, Apr 2, 2011·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul

Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Minnesota Wild 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 66% of the time.

MIN winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

MIN forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Gagne–Downie–StamkosSt. Louis–Lecavalier–ThompsonMalone–Moore–PurcellHall–Bergenheim–TyrellHall–Thompson–TyrellSt. Louis–Lecavalier–PurcellGagne–Purcell–StamkosBrewer–LundinOhlund–ClarkKubina–HedmanClark–KubinaOhlund–Hedman
Brunette–Miettinen–Koivu0:400.00–0.003:360.00–0.000:490.01–0.000:480.01–0.010:340.00–0.003:000.01–0.012:290.01–0.111:230.04–0.00
Bouchard–Brodziak–Clutterbuck4:170.35–0.150:300.00–0.051:330.03–0.012:240.04–0.011:440.01–0.082:430.07–0.13
Cullen–Havlat–Kobasew0:550.00–0.211:520.05–0.002:230.01–0.020:400.00–0.002:560.03–0.021:240.03–0.001:250.00–0.01
Brunette–Cullen–Havlat0:560.00–0.210:440.02–0.000:540.00–0.21
Nystrom–Brodziak–Staubitz0:530.01–0.000:410.03–0.001:060.01–0.020:430.03–0.00
Brunette–Koivu–Kobasew1:130.00–0.000:570.00–0.000:320.00–0.00
Cullen–Bouchard–Clutterbuck0:310.00–0.000:300.00–0.000:510.00–0.00
Madden–Nystrom–Staubitz1:040.00–0.000:330.00–0.000:340.00–0.00
Havlat–Brodziak–Clutterbuck0:340.04–0.00
Brunette–Havlat–Koivu0:480.00–0.00
Havlat–Bouchard–Brodziak0:370.03–0.000:370.03–0.00
Brunette–Miettinen–Brodziak0:400.06–0.000:500.06–0.00
Zanon–Burns4:320.36–0.323:430.02–0.001:560.01–0.010:300.00–0.030:500.03–0.005:200.07–0.011:580.01–0.134:500.13–0.120:490.00–0.000:300.00–0.00
Stoner–Spurgeon3:300.04–0.063:010.03–0.061:310.00–0.021:310.00–0.002:560.04–0.035:510.04–0.081:310.01–0.02
Falk–Noreau1:240.06–0.201:160.00–0.001:290.03–0.001:530.01–0.010:520.00–0.004:030.09–0.011:410.01–0.002:040.00–0.20
Zanon–Stoner0:350.00–0.000:390.03–0.021:010.03–0.001:060.00–0.02
Burns–Spurgeon1:120.00–0.000:560.00–0.000:320.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndKoivu FBrunette FMiettinen FBrodziak FClutterbuck FBouchard FCullen FKobasew FHavlat FMadden FStaubitz FNystrom FZanon DBurns DStoner DSpurgeon DNoreau DFalk DBackstrom GLecavalier FSt. Louis FThompson FDownie FStamkos FGagne FMalone FPurcell FMoore FBergenheim FHall FTyrell FBrewer DLundin DOhlund DClark DKubina DHedman DRoloson G
MINTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Brent BurnsMIN3327:470:511:3653
Steven StamkosTBL2221:531:002:2841
Greg ZanonMIN2721:260:481:3334
Mike LundinTBL3021:230:431:2336
Mikko KoivuMIN2621:090:491:3145
Brett ClarkTBL2920:470:432:0453
Martin St. LouisTBL2219:530:541:3412
Andrew BrunetteMIN2219:520:542:0444
Kyle BrodziakMIN2619:480:461:4236
Victor HedmanTBL2819:400:421:3253
Martin HavlatMIN2319:330:512:3050
Jared SpurgeonMIN2619:330:452:1726
Matt CullenMIN2419:250:491:3241
Cal ClutterbuckMIN2519:250:471:3632
Clayton StonerMIN2919:180:401:2038
Eric BrewerTBL2618:520:441:2326
Vincent LecavalierTBL2318:170:481:3412
Pierre-Marc BouchardMIN2318:160:481:4232
Simon GagneTBL2117:410:511:2951
Mattias OhlundTBL2617:380:411:4745
Pavel KubinaTBL2517:360:421:2941
Antti MiettinenMIN2316:310:431:5924
Nate ThompsonTBL2116:080:461:2515
Steve DownieTBL1915:480:501:2841
Maxim NoreauMIN2014:420:441:4872
Teddy PurcellTBL1813:230:451:1144
Dominic MooreTBL2113:170:381:1035
Ryan MaloneTBL1512:210:491:2513
Chuck KobasewMIN1512:070:481:3121
Justin FalkMIN1712:060:431:1432
Adam HallTBL1811:010:371:1633
Dana TyrellTBL159:030:361:1020
Sean BergenheimTBL147:200:310:5811
Eric NystromMIN137:150:331:0210
Brad StaubitzMIN63:260:341:0200
John MaddenMIN52:250:290:4800