Sat, Apr 2, 2011·Scotiabank Place, Ottawa
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Ottawa Senators 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 69% of the time.
23%
9%
9%
59%
OTT winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 27:18 | 0.12 | 56.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 24:31 | 0.10 | 48.4% | +31.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:52 | 0.00 | 39.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:17 | 0.01 | 38.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:15 | 0.45 | 42.3% | +31.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19:12 | 0.31 | 45.2% | +20.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 18:26 | 0.26 | 52.0% | +20.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 18:19 | 0.81 | 39.9% | +31.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 16:56 | 0.06 | 49.2% | +24.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:15 | 0.20 | 51.4% | +4.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:33 | 0.05 | 50.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:15 | 0.00 | 66.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:13 | 0.22 | 69.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:16 | 0.00 | 65.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:29 | 0.00 | 59.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 11:25 | 0.32 | 21.1% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 8:07 | 0.08 | 26.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:09 | 0.01 | 75.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 25 | 23 | 2 | .920 | 2.05 | +0.1 | 59:22 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 23:39 | 0.01 | 36.1% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | −2 | 4 | 22:52 | 0.42 | 47.6% | +44.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 20:56 | 0.20 | 72.5% | +30.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:25 | 0.03 | 34.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:24 | 0.09 | 73.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:57 | 0.01 | 36.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:24 | 0.00 | 39.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:45 | 0.01 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 16:59 | 0.05 | 78.8% | +30.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:29 | 0.10 | 70.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16:01 | 0.43 | 59.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:55 | 0.00 | 37.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:47 | 0.00 | 48.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:46 | 0.62 | 62.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 13:56 | 0.01 | 46.6% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:22 | 0.04 | 24.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:49 | 0.02 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:03 | 0.01 | 42.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 30 | 26 | 4 | .867 | 3.01 | −1.0 | 58:32 |