Sat, Apr 2, 2011·Scotiabank Place, Ottawa
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Ottawa Senators 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 69% of the time.
23%
9%
9%
59%
OTT winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Lupul–Kessel–Bozak | MacArthur–Grabovski–Kulemin | Brent–Rosehill–Brown | Crabb–Boyce–Kadri | Brent–Brown–Kadri | Phaneuf–Aulie | Gunnarsson–Schenn | Komisarek–Lashoff | Lashoff–Schenn | Phaneuf–Gunnarsson | Aulie–Schenn | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spezza–Michalek–Butler | 5:030.12–0.09 | 0:390.00–0.04 | 3:550.10–0.09 | 1:300.02–0.04 | 0:460.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Neil–Foligno–Winchester | 1:520.15–0.16 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 1:350.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 2:360.12–0.13 | 0:500.03–0.08 | 0:530.03–0.07 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | ||
| Shannon–Foligno–Condra | 2:450.02–0.05 | 0:500.01–0.02 | 0:300.00–0.04 | 1:120.02–0.00 | 1:330.01–0.09 | ||||||
| Neil–Smith–Winchester | 1:240.03–0.00 | 0:460.02–0.00 | 0:390.01–0.00 | 1:080.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Shannon–Condra–Smith | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:330.04–0.21 | 1:110.03–0.00 | 0:470.01–0.21 | |||||||
| Spezza–Svatos–Michalek | 2:260.02–0.02 | 2:000.02–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.02 | ||||||||
| Shannon–Smith–Da Costa | 1:370.01–0.00 | 1:020.01–0.00 | 1:030.01–0.00 | ||||||||
| Neil–Foligno–Smith | 1:270.64–0.07 | 1:040.64–0.02 | |||||||||
| Kuba–Benoit | 2:150.02–0.05 | 5:390.12–0.15 | 0:410.01–0.00 | 4:130.01–0.23 | 2:070.02–0.00 | 2:270.11–0.17 | 0:500.01–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | |||
| Phillips–Lee | 3:230.03–0.23 | 3:540.04–0.02 | 1:070.03–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 4:220.04–0.00 | 2:010.06–0.24 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.00 | ||
| Hale–Wiercioch | 1:210.00–0.00 | 3:010.03–0.21 | 3:060.01–0.04 | 1:340.00–0.00 | 1:540.06–0.04 | 2:480.01–0.00 | 1:030.01–0.21 | 0:300.00–0.00 | |||
| Benoit–Wiercioch | 0:380.55–0.00 | 1:100.03–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:320.58–0.00 | ||||||
| Kuba–Hale | 1:260.08–0.21 | 0:390.01–0.00 | 1:400.08–0.18 | 0:440.00–0.07 | |||||||
| Phillips–Hale | 1:350.15–0.13 | 1:170.12–0.13 | |||||||||
| Phillips–Benoit | 0:490.00–0.00 | 1:000.02–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Kuba–Phillips | 0:330.10–0.17 | 0:500.10–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
OTTTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Dion PhaneufTOR | 37 | 27:18 | 0:44 | 1:29 | 8 | 6 |
 Carl GunnarssonTOR | 36 | 24:31 | 0:41 | 1:37 | 6 | 2 |
 Filip KubaOTT | 25 | 23:39 | 0:57 | 1:45 | 7 | 3 |
 Jason SpezzaOTT | 25 | 22:52 | 0:55 | 2:14 | 5 | 6 |
 Keith AulieTOR | 34 | 21:52 | 0:39 | 1:17 | 5 | 6 |
 Luke SchennTOR | 31 | 21:17 | 0:41 | 1:28 | 1 | 2 |
 Andre BenoitOTT | 21 | 20:56 | 1:00 | 1:37 | 3 | 1 |
 Ryan ShannonOTT | 25 | 20:25 | 0:49 | 1:26 | 3 | 4 |
 Milan MichalekOTT | 25 | 20:24 | 0:49 | 1:17 | 6 | 5 |
 Tyler BozakTOR | 26 | 20:15 | 0:47 | 1:53 | 5 | 5 |
 Chris PhillipsOTT | 24 | 19:57 | 0:50 | 1:53 | 2 | 4 |
 David HaleOTT | 20 | 19:24 | 0:58 | 1:53 | 2 | 4 |
 Phil KesselTOR | 21 | 19:12 | 0:55 | 1:53 | 2 | 2 |
 Nick FolignoOTT | 22 | 18:45 | 0:51 | 2:05 | 3 | 3 |
 Mikhail GrabovskiTOR | 24 | 18:26 | 0:46 | 1:19 | 4 | 2 |
 Joffrey LupulTOR | 21 | 18:19 | 0:52 | 1:41 | 4 | 2 |
 Patrick WierciochOTT | 19 | 16:59 | 0:54 | 1:31 | 1 | 3 |
 Clarke MacArthurTOR | 22 | 16:56 | 0:46 | 1:19 | 3 | 3 |
 Zack SmithOTT | 23 | 16:29 | 0:43 | 1:24 | 4 | 5 |
 Nikolay KuleminTOR | 24 | 16:15 | 0:41 | 1:09 | 3 | 3 |
 Jesse WinchesterOTT | 21 | 16:01 | 0:46 | 1:53 | 3 | 4 |
 Erik CondraOTT | 19 | 15:55 | 0:50 | 1:52 | 1 | 1 |
 Brian LeeOTT | 22 | 15:47 | 0:43 | 1:26 | 2 | 4 |
 Chris NeilOTT | 18 | 14:46 | 0:49 | 1:53 | 3 | 4 |
 Bobby ButlerOTT | 18 | 13:56 | 0:46 | 1:39 | 5 | 1 |
 Matt LashoffTOR | 20 | 13:33 | 0:41 | 1:29 | 2 | 2 |
 Mike BrownTOR | 17 | 13:15 | 0:47 | 1:08 | 0 | 2 |
 Tim BrentTOR | 17 | 13:13 | 0:47 | 1:20 | 0 | 2 |
 Joey CrabbTOR | 20 | 12:16 | 0:37 | 1:01 | 2 | 4 |
 Mike KomisarekTOR | 20 | 11:29 | 0:34 | 1:13 | 3 | 2 |
 Nazem KadriTOR | 17 | 11:25 | 0:40 | 1:07 | 2 | 2 |
 Stephane Da CostaOTT | 16 | 11:22 | 0:43 | 1:22 | 3 | 0 |
 Darryl BoyceTOR | 14 | 8:07 | 0:35 | 0:54 | 2 | 1 |
 Jay RosehillTOR | 10 | 7:09 | 0:43 | 1:09 | 2 | 1 |
 Marek SvatosOTT | 5 | 2:49 | 0:34 | 0:48 | 1 | 1 |
 Francis LessardOTT | 3 | 2:03 | 0:41 | 0:52 | 1 | 0 |